Washington Report on Middle East Affairs, December 1998, pages
30, 92
Elections 2000
Israel Seeking to Cultivate George W. Bush and
Other Republican Presidential Hopefuls
By Tim Kennedy
Hoping to avert a troubled relationship with yet another
Bush in the White House, Israeli government officials are seeking
to cultivate closer ties with George W. Bushthe Republican
governor from Texas and son of former U.S. President George Bushwho
is now seen as a strong contender for the year 2000 presidential
race.
The Washington Report has learned that Israels
permanent representative to the United Nations, Dore Gold, met privately
with Governor Bush during a June visit to the Lone Star State and
invited Bush to come to Israel on a fact finding mission.
Several powerful Republicans active in U.S.-based Israel advocacy
organizations are also getting behind the effort to bring George
W. Bush to Israel.
Simultaneously, the Republican Party sees disenchantment
among Jewish voters with President Bill Clintons handling
of Israel and the peace process, and hopes to lure these voters
into the Republican political camp.
Tel Aviv political leaders hope the effort to establish
close ties with George W. Bush will ensure Israels relationship
with the younger Bush is less troubled than that with his father.
For example, President Bush and Israeli Prime Minister
Yitzhak Shamir clashed bitterly over Washingtons efforts to
talk officially with Yasser Arafat and the Palestine Liberation
Organization (PLO). And Bush briefly withheld U.S. financial support
to Israel over Shamirs refusal to suspend construction of
settlements in Israeli-occupied territory.
Israeli foreign policy watchers believe that even
if George W. Bush ends up relying heavily upon the counsel of James
Baker, his fathers secretary of state, the degree to which
political realities have changed will work in Israels favor.
Golds meeting with Governor Bush is welcome
news to many conservative foreign policy analysts: This is
Mr. Bushs bar mitzvah, Heritage Foundation director
of congressional relations Marshall Wittmann told Forward,
a New York Jewish weekly. The Heritage Foundation is a conservative,
Washington-based political think tank. Whats
significant is hes building his portfolio for the Jewish community,
Wittmann explained.
The bloodlines dont indicate that Mr.
Bush will be pro-Israel.
However, the deputy executive director of the National
Jewish Democratic Council, Stephen Silberfarb, warned Jews against
getting too excited about Israels apparently positive contacts
with George W. Bush. I think with the return of the Bush demons,
you never know where its going to start or stop, Silberfarb
says. The bloodlines dont indicate that Mr. Bush will
be pro-Israel. [His father] George Herbert Walker Bush certainly
is not considered one of the more pro-Israel presidents.
For his part, Ambassador Gold described the meeting
with Bush as one of many ongoing briefings he gives to American
state officials. Gold, who has already met with the governors of
New York, Connecticut and other states, talked with George W. Bush
about Palestinian compliance with the Hebron Agreement, and displayed
maps showing evidence of what Gold describes as threats to
Israel.
It was a very friendly, warm meeting.
Gold said. He was very open and receptive to what I had to
say.
A spokesman for Governor Bush, Shirley Green, called
the meeting basically a courtesy call, during which
Gold verbally asked the governor, as most ambassadors usually
do, if he could visit [Israel].
Green said Israel shouldnt expect Governor Bush
to come any time soon. He always responds to such inquiries
by saying at this time he is running hard for re-election and has
no plans to travel abroad, Green said.
Executive director Matt Brooks of the National Jewish
Coalition, a Republican group, said he hopes George W. Bush accepts
Golds invitation. We are in touch with all of the different
candidates and people who are thinking about running for president,
Brooks said. As we do with all of the leaders in the party,
we think anybody in a position of prominence should visit Israel.
Wittmann told Forward that George W. Bush will
do a better job with Jews than his father. He has the kind
of charisma that hell succeed in wooing most people,
Wittmann said. He acknowledged, however, that, as governor of Texas,
the younger Bush has rarely been called upon to comment on foreign
policy issues.
Foreign Policy Rabbis
We dont know who his foreign policy rabbis
will be, Wittmann said. Should he run, however, I suspect
he will surround himself with people who share his visions and goals,
not necessarily his fathers. Once we know that, that will
be a clear indication of what direction hes going in.
Republicans believe they now have an historic
opportunity to convince Jewish Americans to abandon their
traditional allegiance to the Democrat Party. Some 80 percent of
Jews in the 1996 election supported Clinton, and even during the
height of President Ronald Reagans political popularity, Jewish
voters remained loyally Democratic.
The Republican Party first saw its opportunity to
lure away the Jewish vote last spring when President Bill Clintons
wife, Hillary, alienated many American Jews with her call for a
Palestinian state, and when the Clinton administration began to
pressure Israel to abide by the terms of the bilateral Oslo accords.
Frank Luntz, the Republican political strategist who
helped Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich (R-GA) craft the ill-fated
Contract With America, is spearheading the recruitment
effort. Last May, Luntz convened focus groups to help the Republican
Party find language that would help its candidates attract more
Jewish voters in the November congressional election and in the
year 2000 presidential vote. The key, Luntz advised, is to be vocally
and unconditionally pro-Israel.
The Republican recruiting effort is receiving an added
boost from remarks made by Israels minister of industry and
trade, Natan Sharansky, who accuses the Clinton administration of
neglecting the interests of Israel.
It is precisely because of the large number
of Jews in the U.S. administrationthere are more of them now
than in any previous U.S. administrationthat it is hard for
the president to truly understand the trends in the Jewish community,
Sharansky told Vesti, a Hebrew-language newspaper published
in Tel Aviv. Why? Because many of these presidential Jews
belong to the American branch of Peace Now.
The assistant executive director of Americans for
Peace Now, Lewis Roth, denounced the Republican planas did
the chairman emeritus of the Israel Policy Forum, Robert Lifton.
If the Republicans are trying to use as a wedge issue what
happens to be the same position of the majority of Jewish voters,
I dont see how that has any traction, Roth said.
With regard to Sharanskys statements, Roth said
that to the extent that President Clinton is listening to
advisers who share the opinion of Americans for Peace Now, hes
getting an accurate portrayal of what American Jews think.
Officials at Peace Now, a Tel Aviv-based political
organization that advocates dialogue with Israels enemies,
identify Clintons national security adviser, Samuel Sandy
Berger, as a former donor to Americans for Peace Now. And a friend
of the Clintons who was a Democratic National Committee official,
Sara Ehrman, is an Americans for Peace Now board member.
However, Sharanskys words are welcomed by Morton
Klein, national president of the Zionist Organization of America.
It is true that since Clinton became president among his most
prominent Jewish advisers have been APN board members or advisers
who do not represent the mainstream of American Jewry, Klein
said.
But the national director of the Anti-Defamation League,
Abraham Foxman, warns against politicizing support for Israel. Says
Foxman: I hope and pray that support for Israel does not become
a political football, partisan in nature.
Tim Kennedy
is a foreign policy and defense analyst based in Washington, DC. |