Washington Report on Middle East Affairs, November/December
1996
Election Watch
Despite Candidates, Muslim Americans Gained Some
Ground In 1996 Elections
By Richard H. Curtiss
At the beginning of the 1996 general election cycle,
it looked like both Muslim-American and Arab-American citizens would
have an easy choice between presidential candidates. Democratic
President Bill Clinton was being hailed in the Israeli press as
the most pro-Israel president in history, a theme that was picked
up by the U.S. press as the campaign wore on.
His Republican challenger, Senator Bob Dole, was one
of fewer than half a dozen of the 100 members of the Senate who
had recommended a cut in aid to Israel and who was on record with
a series of caustic comments about the Jewish state, normally a
sacred cow with candidates of both parties.
It was Dole and his campaign advisers who muddied
the waters. First Dole sponsored a Senate resolution in 1995 to
move the U.S. Embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, a perennial election
year bill he personally had killed in 1984 and which he first had
supported and then later opposed in 1992. The idea was to overcome
his image as a critic of Israel. Unfortunately for Dole, the tactic
didnt influence Jewish voters, who were expected to vote nine-to-one
for Clinton. But it did convince a lot of Arab-American voters that,
for them, Dole was as bad or worse than Clinton.
The Dole campaign compounded the impression by appointing
a campaign Middle East advisory committee that included
two notoriously pro-Israel figures from the Ronald Reagan administration,
former U.S. Ambassador to the U.N. Jeane Kirkpatrick and former
Assistant Secretary of Defense Richard Perle. The move was designed
to blunt expected attacks on Dole by some journalists who are believed
to set their watches by Israeli time. It may have kept a few in
the Dole corral, like William Safire, who defected to Clinton over
Bushs Middle East policy in 1992, and Charles Krauthammer,
whose support for Dole in 1996 had considerably more verve and clarity
than did his support for Bush in 1992. But by the end of the campaign,
Dole was charging the liberal press with beating up
on him just as mercilessly and unfairly as it dealt with Bush.
The Arab American Institute, whose objective is to
help Arab Americans move up in politics, has had support groups
working with both parties for the past several years. Working through
the AAI, Clinton and Gore met with Arab-American leaders at the
White House on Nov. 9, 1995. On Aug. 6, 1996, Clinton joined members
of his National Security Council for part of an AAI-arranged second
White House meeting for Arab-American leaders. The Dole campaign
scheduled a meeting with Arab Americans in Michigan in the last
days of the campaign.
Democratic Arab Americans also pointed out that 40
delegates to the Democratic National Convention in Chicago were
Arab Americans, and Republican Arab Americans pointed out that Dole
had turned over to Arab American Sen. Spence Abraham (R-MI) leadership
of Campaign America, the political action committee Dole had founded
and led.
All this activity may have dampened the pro-Israel
campaign rhetoric from both sides in 1996, but any credit due has
to be shared with Binyamin Netanyahus outrageous conduct in
Israel. Unfortunately, working closely with both parties has produced
Arab Americans willing to sing the praises of either candidate,
but as yet it has produced no discernible changes in Middle East
policy, either from the Democratic White House or the Republican
Congress.
Therefore perhaps the most decisive factor for Arab
Americans, who probably include a slight preponderance of Christians
over Muslims, was Doles demeaning performance after Israeli
voters elected hard-liner Binyamin Netanyahu prime minister. Dole
implied he would be a better friend of Netanyahus Likud-run
Israel than would Clinton and, in an ill-conceived flash of partisan
rhetoric, warned Clinton against putting pressure on Netanyahu in
attempts to get the Middle East peace process, which Netanyahus
words and deeds had derailed, back on track.
Like most Americans, individual Arab Americans have
basic inclinations toward one political party or another. Doles
words set them free to follow those inclinations, despite Clintons
subservience to the Israel lobby on U.S. foreign policy. Its
likely that exit polls will show Arab Americans voted in about the
same percentages for each candidate as Americans as a whole. That
is because Doles campaign rhetoric obscured a record that
should have gained him the same kind of overwhelming majority among
Arab Americans that Clinton could count on among American Jews.
Muslim Americans Make Their Voices Heard in 1996
Muslim Americans made their first perceptible impact
on the American political system in 1996. Until now, although they
probably number between six and eight million persons in the U.S.
(the U.S. Jewish population is estimated at only 4.9 to 5.4 million
persons), there are no Muslims in Congress and almost none as political
appointees in the executive branch or as elected officials in state,
city or county governments. One of the reasons for this incredible
disparity is the political axiom that Muslims dont vote.
In 1996, for the first time, national Muslim organizations
set out seriously to correct this, starting with voter registration
and get-out-the-vote drives. In some areas local Muslim communities
invited Republican, Democratic and other candidates for local office
to come meet groups of Muslim voters and, almost without exception,
invited candidates showed up.
At national conventions, American Muslims also listened
to leaders of their still nascent national organizations debate
the next stage toward political empowerment. In those debates several
things became clear. For most Muslims, the attachment to their religion
greatly exceeds their individual attachment, if any, to political
parties.
If they receive political guidance from Islamic national
leaders they respect, a high percentage of Muslim voters probably
will follow it. The debate therefore centered on bloc voting by
American Muslims, which the rank and file clearly favored.
At the local candidate level, such bloc voting has
proved fairly easy to organize, particularly since Muslims in large
urban areas attend mosques where ideas can be passed rapidly. At
the national level it proved more difficult. A leader of the American
Muslim Council argued that both candidates were so bad on Middle
East issues that the bloc vote should be a blank ballot
or for a candidate that no one has ever heard of. Opponents
of that idea pointed out that this would just perpetuate the stereotype
that Muslims dont vote.
Some members of Muslim groups argued in open meetings
that if Muslims were to vote as a bloc, they should be very sure
that that bloc voted for the winner. Leaders responded that this
would free either party of ever having to consider or act on Muslim
wishes. The Muslims could be counted on just to follow the crowd.
In the end, leaders of five national Muslim organizations
appointed emissaries to outline their concerns to both the Clinton
and Dole campaigns. The Dole campaign responded by inviting the
leaders of national Islamic organizations to a meeting, attended
by leaders of three of them, at which they handed over a written
summary of their concerns. Following the meeting Senator Dole addressed
a letter responding to those concerns to presidents of four groups,
the American Muslim Alliance (AMA), the Council on American-Islamic
Relations (CAIR), the National Council on Islamic Affairs, and the
Muslim Public Affairs Council.
As readers can see from the letter on p. 42, Doles
response to each of the groups contained some remarkably forthcoming
language on both domestic and foreign policy. In fact, his call
for an even-handed American foreign policy revives language
that has been anathema to the pro-Israel lobby for a generation
and which therefore has been shunned by most candidates for elective
office.
To date, the Clinton campaign has rested on laurels
earned earlier by First Lady Hillary Clinton. In the spring of 1996
she organized, with the help of the American Muslim Council, an
Eid al-Fitr breakfast, marking the end of the Islamic holy month
of Ramadan, at the White House for local Muslims representing a
cross-section of African, South Asian, Arab and other ethnic backgrounds.
Subsequently, on a trip to Los Angeles, she visited the Islamic
Center of Southern California, home base of the Muslim Public Affairs
Council.
Significantly, of the five national organizations
mentioned, the American Muslim Council and the Muslim Public Affairs
Council, both of which have worked with Hillary Clinton decided
not to endorse either candidate. The leaders explained that they
felt an endorsement for her husbands rival would be a poor
way to respond to Mrs. Clintons overtures. Of the other three
groups, at this writing the National Council on Islamic Affairs
already had endorsed Dole and CAIR and the AMAwere leaning that
way, despite the candidates poor poll numbers. The leaders
all were scheduled for a personal meeting with Senator Dole at which
they once again would discuss their concerns.
For a community that only four years ago still was
struggling within individual mosques with the question of whether
Muslims should participate in a non-Islamic political system, American
Muslims have come a long way. If 1996 goes down in history as the
year the sleeping giant of American Islam woke up, perhaps the year
2000 will be the year the giant stands up and shakes off the political
lethargy that has immobilized it until now. From now on its
a giant that neither party can afford to take for granted. |