Washington Report, November 1, 1982, Page 2
Policy
The King and Us
The man who likes to drop into our office to pick our brains on
the Middle East was back again the other day. It's time we introduced
him. His name is Humphrey.
Q What can you tell me about King Hussein?
A He's the King of Jordan.
Q Very funny. You know what I mean—where's he coming
from? And please don't tell me he comes from Amman.
A Okay. King Hussein is a man who deserves a lot more consideration
from the U.S. than he has been getting for the past few years, and
Q Why? Hasn't he always been against the peace process?
A Jeepers, I'm not sure if I'm going to be able to stand
this
Q Eh? What are you mumbling for?
A I said that I guess there are a few things you still have
to learn, my friend. One of them is to beware of buzzwords. By "the
peace process" I assume you mean Camp David
Q Of course.
A Why "of course?" The Camp David formula, it
is true, is one which aims at peace. But it didn't come down from
heaven, and should not be sanctified as being the only way peace
can be achieved. In fact, the whole world has been able to see that
it has serious shortcomings. The return of Sinai to Egypt was certainly
a great plus, but did the Camp David formula stop the Israelis from
annexing Golan, or building new settlements on the West Bank, or
invading Lebanon? It did not. In fact, there are those who argue
that by taking Egypt out of the Middle East's military equation
Camp David made it possible—or at any rate, much easier—for
Begin to go ahead.
Q What does all this have to do with King Hussein?
A King Hussein did not support the Camp David agreements
in large part because he believed that they allowed Begin to go
ahead and do the very things I've just mentioned
Q Allowed, did you say?
A Whoa. I didn't mean that he thought the Egyptian and American
leaders at Camp David wanted this to happen. But they were
perhaps overly optimistic about Mr. Begin's motives, and about their
own abilities to keep him in line. King Hussein was not. When it
turned out that the signing of an Egypt-Israel peace treaty was
not to be linked to progress on the Palestine issue, the King guessed
that Mr. Begin would see this as a golden opportunity to neutralize
Egypt with a separate peace treaty and do what he wanted in the
other Arab territories. The King turned out to be right. Many U.S.
officials had pooh-poohed his doubts over the agreements and some
had even been talking as though the King were somehow against the
idea of peace. It might have been better if they'd just listened
to his advice.
Q Yeah, but if the King was for peace, then why did he turn
down so many chances he had to make peace even before Camp David?
A I knew I was going to hate this
Q What?
A I said where did you get that idea? Ever since the West
Bank and Gaza were captured by Israel in 1967, King Hussein has
been saying that Jordan is ready to recognize and sign a peace treaty
with Israel—backed up by international security guarantees
and peace-keeping forces, if necessary—if Israel would only
withdraw from the territories it occupied during the 1967 war. The
way he put it at the time—and he still says it today—is
that "Israel can have peace or it can have territory, but it
cannot have both." It was an idea that didn't seem unreasonable
to a lot of people. You know about United Nations Resolution 242,
of course?
Q Er, uh, sure.
A Well, King Hussein played a role in drawing up that resolution,
which forms the basis of U.S. policy today. Do you remember the
Rogers Plan?
Q Er
A That was a U.S. peace plan, put forward by Secretary of
State William Rogers as long ago as 1969, which called on Israeli
withdrawal to the pre-1967 borders with only "insubstantial"
alterations of those borders. This was a U.S. plan, and King Hussein
was in favor of it.
Q Why didn't it bring peace, then?
A I think you must be pulling my leg, Humphrey. It didn't
bring peace because Israel wanted more than "insubstantial"
alterations of the border. It wanted big chunks of the West Bank
on the grounds that this was necessary for Israel's security. In
other words, it wanted peace and territory.
Q Okay, but where was Hussein later, when Kissinger—even
I remember that!—was helping Egypt get back some land along
the Suez Canal
A Where was he? He was cooperating with Kissinger to arrange
the deal for Egypt—and for that matter also for Syria, which
got a strip of the Golan Heights back during Kissinger's shuttles.
Unfortunately for Hussein, though, he couldn't manage to get any
of his own land back. In 1974 he proposed having an additional disengagement
agreement to separate Jordanian and Israeli forces along the Jordan
River, but Israel refused. And there was no pressure from the U.S.
to get Israel to disengage, as there had been in the case of Egypt
and Syria.
Q Didn't Hussein jump all over Sadat just because he decided
to go to Jerusalem? This was certainly not very friendly to the
U.S.
A Sorry, Humph, you've got that all wrong. Up until the
moment of Sadat's visit, Jordan was a warm supporterof the U.S.'s
policy to have a conference at Geneva that would seek a comprehensive
settlement. When Sadat suddenly went to Jerusalem, the U.S. dropped
this policy on the spot and began supporting Sadat's new initiative.
And King Hussein, despite this unexpected and confusing U.S. zigzag,
went gamely along with it. He not only did not voice objections
to Sadat's visit, as so many other Arab countries did, but gave
strong support to the peace terms which Sadat presented to the Israeli
parliament. It was only after Camp David, when Sadat had backed
down, in Hussein's view, from the strong stand he had taken in front
of the Israeli parliament, that he decided that both Sadat and the
U.S. had got on the wrong track. Anyhow, what's so bad about that?
Why is it that a friendly country with goals for the area similar
to those of the U.S. has to agree with every modality of U.S. policy
for reaching those goals—especially when the modalities keep
changing all the time—in order to be treated as an ally? Israel
doesn't even share the U.S. goals for the area, but somehow is still
considered a close ally by our government.
Q Hmmm. Still, I don't see why you say Jordan is not being
treated like an ally. We still give them generous supplies of arms
and—
A Bosh. For Jordan, getting arms these past few years has
been like pulling teeth. Even before Camp David, Jordan had to wait
two years to get the go-ahead to buy a supply of Hawk anti-missile
batteries, and in order to get them had to agree to have them embedded
in concrete. The idea was that if they were immobile they could
supposedly not threaten Israel. But of course that meant they could
not defend against Israel either—nor very effectively against
anyone else, for that matter. Since Camp David, things have gotten
worse. Jordan will be getting some tanks next year, which it purchased
two years ago—but practically every other Middle East country
already has tanks of comparable quality or better. U.S. military
sales credits to Jordan have dropped to less than half of what they
were before Camp David, and economic assistance has practically
disappeared. Israel gets more than 50 times as much! And there's
no sign that aid to Israel will be reduced.
Q That is kind of peculiar—I mean, when you think
that the Israelis have turned the Reagan peace plan down flat. I
guess King Hussein has given it the okay, has he?
A Yep. He said it was a "very constructive and very
positive move," and that he is going to play "a very,
very active part" in trying to achieve its goals.
Q So are they finally going to begin treating the King better?
A Your guess is as good as mine.
Q Boy, coming from you, that's a real compliment. I better
quit while I'm ahead. See-ya. |