OCTOBER/NOVEMBER 1999, pages 29-30
Special Report
“The New Libya” Backs a U.S.-Libyan Dialogue
Group
By Eugene Bird
Formation of a U.S.-Libya Dialogue Group was announced at a conference
held on neutral territory in Malta during the last week of August.
The new group will aim at improving business and political relations
between the two countries after nearly two decades of sanctions
and disagreements connected initially with Libyan actions in support
of the Palestinian cause and culminating in the explosion of Pan
American Flight 103 over Lockerbie, Scotland.
“Within the legal context allowed us, the American side in the
dialogue will seek to sponsor a major conference in the United States
within the next three to six months, perhaps even in Washington,
DC, as a first step in ending the eight years of stringent sanctions
and almost 20 years of bad relations,” said Dr. Charles MacDonald
of Florida International University, American co-chair of the new
group.
However, United Nations sanctions now in suspension but not yet
removed, U.S. sanctions that will not be suspended or removed at
least until the end of the trial of the two Libyans before three
Scottish judges sitting in the Netherlands and slated to begin in
December, and the probability of civil actions by survivors of the
Flight 103 victims that could threaten Libyan assets in the United
States for years to come, make prospects for renewing full relations
between the two countries more complex than they appeared at Malta.
No Sovereign Immunity
A U.S. Supreme Court decision permitting civil suits in American
courts against “terror designated states” despite sovereign immunity
preventing such suits under international law, has opened the door
for major claims against Libya that may take years to wend their
way through the courts, if Libya chooses to defend itself. More
likely is a negotiated compensation, which Libya has already provided
in the case of a downed French passenger aircraft which exploded
over Africa in December 1989.
The U.S. Supreme Court decision followed a campaign organized
by the government of Israel’s lobbying groups which urged the court
to make it possible to pursue civil suits against the states designated
as supporting terror in the Anti-Terror Act of 1995. Such suits
could tie up closer relations with Libya or other Middle East states
for years or decades. What worries legal experts is that the U.S.
itself might be faced with similar suits in various parts of the
world where American air power has resulted in civilian deaths,
such as Serbia or Iraq.
New Sanctions Legislation
Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Jesse Helms (R-NC)
is drafting new sanctions legislation that is aimed at regulating
the presidential use of sanctions but it is not expected to be ready
for the remaining part of this session of Congress. Nor is it expected
to be at all flexible or to reduce the present sanctions being used
throughout the Middle East against the “rogue” states.
Department of State and congressional sources are hopeful that
the present chaotic use of sanctions by foreign policy advisers
to the president will become more in accord with international practices
and have better ground rules. Libyan diplomats have as their goal
a lifting of U.S. sanctions within one year. But the blunt instrument
of sanctions instead of the negotiations traditionally favored by
professional diplomats is now applied in one form or another by
the United States against 50 of the 194 countries in the world.
Third Track Dialogue
The three-day “Third Track” dialogue conference in Malta was the
second such conference this year to be sponsored by the School of
Management at the University of Maastricht in the Netherlands headed
by Dr. M.S. El-Namaki. Considerable pressure was placed on the university
by supporters of Israel in Holland to cancel the conference, at
least until after the trial of the two Libyans in Holland ends sometime
next year. The University refused to do so.
Americans who attended the Malta conference included former Assistant
Secretary of State Herman J. Cohen and John Szymkowicz, a Washington
lawyer who has been involved in the various aspects of the negotiations
with Libya on the Pan American case.
The Libyan co-chairman of the new dialogue group, which is incorporated
in the U.S., is Professor Dr. Khalifa Issa Salem, former director
of the Libyan Foreign Media Bureau in Tripoli. He is now a lecturer
at Al Fath Universityin Tripoli.
In a speech to the conference in Malta, Dr. Saleh Ibrahim, director
of the Academy of Graduate Studies and Economic Research at Tripoli,
noted that the U.K. and the European Community have removed, not
just suspended, all sanctions against Libya. He emphasized that
Libyan political leaders were taking very useful initiatives with
African states, including helping to settle one of the tougher problems
between African leaders and hosting the Organization of African
States on Sept. 7 in Tripoli.
Post-Trial May End U.S. Sanctions
Preliminaries for removal of U.S. sanctions against Libya would,
of course, include complete cooperation during the coming trial
in The Hague, payment of compensation for the victims of the Pan
American flight if the trial results in convictions, and continued
proof of non-involvement in terror around the world. Allegations
of involvement by other Libyan officials that might result from
the trial, or following the trail of evidence of their involvement
could also complicate the opening to Libya.
Libya has changed in the last decade but the political and economic
system remains centralized even though thousands of Libyans have
returned from American and other foreign universities and provide
a leaven that is continuing to create far more dialogue internally,
according to those attending the Malta conference. Said one of the
conference participants, “We are like Iran in some ways, split between
traditionalists who oppose opening to the West and the release for
trial of those charged with the Pan American bombing as a humiliation,
and the more modern, young, and Western- educated who want to see
a different Libya develop out of this experience.”
Tradition vs. Modern
Another of the Libyan delegates, all of whom were nominally young
private citizens from across the social spectrum of Libyans, said
that when their government agreed to send the two Libyans accused
of involvement in the explosion of Pan Am 103 for trial outside
the country, Libyans plunged into a full-scale debate. Libyans were
almost evenly divided on whether the government of Libya should
have folded on the issue, he said. And the two sides were not divided
by class, origin, and sex, or even by traditionalists versus modernists.
There are today in Libya a total of 100,000 students in colleges
and universities. About 60 percent of them are women and they participate
in the same classes with men. This is not Iran. Libya’s educators
now seem concerned that so many young men refuse to go to college,
thinking it is a waste of time since there are few good or appropriate
jobs for them when they graduate.
The dialogue group hopes to operate not only to change the American
perception of what is described as a New Libya, but to change some
of the Libyan perceptions of America and of free enterprise in the
third millennium. Getting past the Lockerbie issue, the group aims
at maintaining a dialogue with key figures in both countries as
part of their efforts in third-track diplomacy.
Eugene Bird, a retired foreign service officer, is president
of the Council for the National Interest and diplomatic correspondent
for the Washington Report. |