Washington Report on Middle East Affairs, September
1999, pages 6-8
Two Views—Will Ehud Barak Revive the Peace Process?
The New Israeli Government Resumes the Slow Crawl
Toward Peace
By Rachelle Marshall
We are still waiting for positive developments...but
I hope somehow that there will be a breakthrough before long and
we can start again. That is where we are at the moment.
—The late King Hussein, in a December 1996 interview with Israeli
writer Avi Shlaim, New York Review of Books, July 15, 1999.
The time has come to build an open and brave peace that will
ensure the future and the security of our peoples, our children,
and our grandchildren.”—Prime Minister Ehud Barak in a speech
before the Knesset, July 6, 1999.
A magician’s skill lies in his ability to convince an audience
that he is doing one thing while in fact he is doing another. Israeli
leaders have been masters of the art from the beginning.
In 1948 David Ben-Gurion successfully portrayed Israel as a weak,
beleaguered nation struggling to defend its very existence while
at the same time its powerful army was fighting to capture more
Arab territory. Menachem Begin, a former terrorist leader who launched
the bloody 1982 invasion of Lebanon, was awarded the Nobel Prize
for Peace, as was Yitzhak Rabin, who for years refused to talk with
Palestinian leaders, then, after reluctantly signing the Oslo agreement,
delayed implementing it while he rapidly expanded West Bank settlements.
Rabin’s successor, Shimon Peres, sealed the borders of the West
Bank and Gaza and turned both territories into giant detention camps,
yet he, too, is hailed as a man of peace.
Ehud Barak’s election has raised hopes that Israel and the Palestinians
will once more resume the road to peace, but the records of past
Israeli leaders indicate that the road will be filled with obstacles.
Barak is not likely to break ranks. Throughout his career he has
given unswerving support to the government in power, and as a career
soldier repeatedly helped implement Israel’s policy of responding
to Arab resistance with overwhelming force. During his rise to become
Israel’s top military commander he was a member of a commando hit
squad and once even entered Beirut disguised as a woman in pursuit
of one of his victims—whom he assassinated, along with the man’s
wife.
Nevertheless, Barak’s government differs significantly from former
Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu’s. The coalition includes the
ultraOrthodox but pro-peace Shas and United Torah Judaism parties,
with their combined 22 seats, rather than the hard-line Likud.
The small Center Party, made up largely of former Likud members,
will also be part of the coalition along with the party of Russian
immigrants and the dovish Meretz. Barak’s foreign minister, David
Levy, favors an exchange of land for peace.
No Arab was named to a cabinet post, however, even though Arabs
overwhelmingly supported Barak’s election. Knesset member Ahmed
Tibi angrily called the omission “a slap in the face...we did not
expect.”
What worries some propeace observers is that the government will
include the five-member National Religious Party, which represents
settlers who oppose any dismantling of settlements. Also worrisome
is the fact that Barak left Likud out of the new government only
after extended negotiations with Likud chairman Ariel Sharon, and
then only because of Sharon’s refusal to join.
The two men disagreed over two issues: Israeli withdrawal from
the Golan Heights, which Likud opposes, and construction of more
Jewish housing in East Jerusalem, which Likud favors. Only a week
before pulling out of the talks Sharon had told Likud members that
he and Barak were close to agreement on a number of the issues to
be negotiated in final status talks with the Palestinians, including
the future of Jerusalem and West Bank settlements.
“It’s very clear that we’ll have influence over the central issues,”
Sharon said at one point. As late as the last week in June Israeli
political analysts were predicting that Sharon would be the new
finance minister.
Sharon also hinted that Barak had promised to carry out decisions
made by the Netanyahu government, which Barak’s spokesman denied.
Barak himself has said he will review “all prior authorized decisions,”
a statement that still leaves open the question of whether he will
allow work to continue on any of the projects actually begun under
Netanyahu.
According to Barak’s guidelines, his government will build no new
settlements and will no longer subsidize the purchase of settlement
housing. Like Rabin, however, he will allow for their “natural growth.”
Rabin and Peres adhered to that policy but managed to increase the
number of Jewish settlers by 31 percent.
Barak will have to decide almost immediately whether to continue
work on two projects in East Jerusalem which, if they go forward,
could torpedo peace talks with the Palestinians. One is the construction
of 132 apartments for Jews in Ras al-Amoud, where bulldozers began
clearing land the day of Barak’s inauguration, and the other is
the 6,000-unit Har Homa settlement on Jabal Abu Ghneim.
The prime minister will also have to declare himself on the previous
government’s lastminute proposal to take land from five Palestinian
villages in order to double the size of Ma’ale Adumin, a settlement
of 25,000 people just outside of Jerusalem. The plan would give
Ma’ale Adumin an area larger than Tel Aviv and complete the isolation
of Palestinian communities from the city. Barak favors annexing
large West Bank settlements to Israel but he is likely to put the
proposal on hold. Palestinian officials insist that all settlement
activity be halted before peace talks can proceed.
During the final days of the Netanyahu government there were disturbing
signs that Barak’s rhetoric may differ from the former prime minister’s
more than his actions. In a June interview Barak said he hoped to
make “the peace of the brave with Syria,” and he has also pledged
to withdraw Israeli troops from Lebanon within a year.
But on June 24, only a few days after he said those words, Barak
remained noticeably silent when Israel launched its heaviest bombing
raid since 1996 against Lebanon. The attack destroyed power plants,
bridges, and other facilities throughout the country, including
Syrian-held territory, and blacked out Beirut for a week. At least
nine Lebanese civilians were killed and 45 wounded.
The bombing was in retaliation for Hezbollah’s rocketing of northern
Israel, which killed two Israelis. The rocket attack was in response
to the shelling of a village by Israeli-backed forces that killed
a woman and her grandson. Israeli analysts said “it strained credulity”
that Barak was not briefed on the bombing beforehand.
Barak was similarly silent on June 22, when Israeli police fired
rubber bullets at scores of Israeli Arabs who were protesting the
demolition of Arab homes in Lod. Azmi Bishara, an Israeli Arab member
of the Knesset who had briefly run for prime minister in the recent
election, but then withdrew to avoid drawing first-ballot Arab votes
away from Barak, said police chased him behind a car and shot him
deliberately, even though he was obviously not throwing stones and
was wearing a suit. When Dr. Ziad Muhareb came to Bishara’s aid,
police shot him too, wounding him seriously in the face.
Members of the city’s Arab community have become increasingly angry
because they are not permitted to buy or build houses in Lod and
are forced to live in slums, while the government builds new houses
for thousands of immigrants from Russia. Mahmoud Muhareb, a spokesman
for the citizens’ committee of Lod and a professor at Bethlehem
University, also cited the fact that, unlike Jewish residents, Arabs
in Lod have no government-financed parks or youth centers, and their
schools are crowded and unsafe. He said the police fired without
warning at the crowd.
An Israeli radio commentator pointed out that Israeli police never
use rubber bullets against Jewish protestors, no matter how violent
they become. Whether or not the police will become more evenhanded
under Barak will soon become evident.
Shimon Peres went to Lod after the shooting and persuaded the mayor
to suspend the house demolitions until after the new government
is established. If the demolitions are resumed, there are certain
to be renewed protests, but next time the police may be acting under
different orders. The newly appointed Internal Security Minister,
Shlomo Ben-Ami, is not a career policeman but an expert in social
policy who reportedly wants to improve relations between Israeli
Arabs and Jews.
Barak has promised to pursue negotiations with Syria and with
the Palestinians simultaneously, but he is likely to make faster
progress with Syria. Return of the Golan Heights is a less emotional
issue with most Israelis than the status of Jerusalem or the settlements.
Peace with Syria could also lead to the end of Israel’s occupation
of Lebanon, where scores of Israeli soldiers die each year. Most
Israelis want the troops to return home, and a poll taken last December
showed that 40 percent of Israelis would even accept unconditional
withdrawal.
Barak’s policies regarding the West Bank and Gaza are still not
easy to predict. In the past he has talked of “separation,” and
he recently proposed building an elevated bridge between northern
Gaza and the southern tip of the West Bank, with no exits other
than at the two terminals. The bridge would allow the Palestinians
“safe passage” from one territory to the other, as promised by Oslo,
while assuring that no Palestinian traveler would set foot in Israel.
If Israel does make peace with Syria and Lebanon, the return of
Palestinians who were forced from their homes by the Israelis in
1948 will become an even more crucial issue. The 300,000 Palestinians
now living in squalid camps in Lebanon constitute 8 percent of Lebanon’s
population but are treated as outcasts. Because the Lebanese government
denies them citizenship and even the right to work, most of the
residents are destitute and suffer from a range of social problems.
Consequently the camps are the source of sporadic violence.
Lebanese President Emile Lahoud has said he will press hard for
the refugees’ right to return to Israel. There is no chance, however,
that the Israelis will agree.
Nor will the United States urge them to do so if the pro-Israel
lobby has its way. Last March 81 senators signed a letter drawn
up by the American Israel Public Affairs Committee opposing any
exertion of pressure on Israel by the United States. The looming
presidential election makes it less likely than ever that the Clinton
administration will make demands on Israel.
Israel’s exemption from the obligation to respect universally
accepted human rights was illustrated yet again on July 1, when
a reporter asked President Clinton to compare his views on the Palestinian
and Kosovo refugees. Clinton answered that he “would like it if
the Palestinian people were free to live wherever they liked, wherever
they want to live.” His seemingly unexceptionable statement was
immediately denied by White House and State Department officials,
who said Clinton did not mean what he appeared to mean.
In Israel the remark “set off a firestorm of debate,” according
to The New York Times. Outgoing Defense Minister Moshe Arens
said the return of the refugees “will mean the end of the state
of Israel,” and a spokesman for Barak said Clinton’s statement was
“unacceptable.”
As peace talks get underway the only certainty is that the climate
at the negotiating table will be friendlier than in the past three
years. But the reservoir of good will that Barak starts out with
in Israel and America could make it even harder for the Palestinians
to achieve their objectives, since they can no longer count on the
sympathetic support from abroad that Netanyahu’s politics of confrontation
aroused.
This time it is Barak who will be given the benefit of the doubt.
Even if the negotiations end with the creation of a Palestinian
“state” in one form or another the benefits may be minimal.
A Palestinian cynic recently suggested that rather than settle
for a state composed of bits and pieces of land inaccessible to
one another, the Palestinians should simply set up a Web site and
call it Palestine. A more serious alternative is for Palestinians
and their supporters in Israel and elsewhere to continue to work
for a just peace no matter how long it takes, and meanwhile refuse
to settle for anything less.
Rachelle Marshall is a free-lance editor living in Stanford,
CA. A member of the International Jewish Peace Union, she writes
frequently on the Middle East. |