Washington Report on Middle East Affairs, September 1998,
pages 21-22
Defense & Intelligence
U.S. Bans High-Resolution Imagery of Israel
By Shawn L. Twing
In an unexpected move that stunned the U.S. commercial
satellite imagery industry, the United States government announced
July 22 that American companies cannot distribute high-resolution
satellite imagery of Israel. The decision, which apparently originated
within the highest levels of the executive branch of the U.S. government,
marks the first step away from the open-skies policy that
the U.S. and other countries have agreed to for more than three
decades, according to the Wall Street Journal. It also
led to speculation within the U.S. commercial space imaging industry
that the real motivation was not Israeli security, but slowing
down U.S. progress in the field long enough for Israeli commercial
competitors to catch up.
At a meeting with representatives of the top three
American firms in the fieldEarthWatch, Inc. (Longmont, CO),
Space Imaging, Inc. (Thornton, CO), and Orbital Imaging, Inc. (Dulles,
VA)Commerce and State Department officials announced that
U.S. companies will not be allowed to distribute one meter or better
imagery of Israel (one meter resolution imagery makes objects as
small as one square meter discernible). This decision, described
as a bolt from the blue by Space Imaging CEO John Copple,
contradicted earlier cabinet-level assurances to U.S. industry that
previous attempts to limit imagery of Israel would not be enforced
to the detriment of U.S. businesses.
It also threatens Space Imagings business interests
in the Middle East and beyond. In January, Space Imaging announced
the formation of Dubai Space Imaging, a joint venture with United
Arab Emirates investors that includes a satellite ground receiving
station in Dubai, the first of its kind in the Arab world. DSI plans
to receive a variety of imagery from two Indian satellites before
switching to the IKONOS-1 satellite scheduled for launch later this
year, and the follow-up IKONOS-2, both of which are capable of one-meter
imagery of the entire Middle East, including Israel.
According to knowledgeable sources, the decision to
re-examine U.S. policy on commercial imagery of Israel came from
the office of presidential National Security Adviser Samuel Sandy
Berger after intense lobbying by several pro-Israel groups. This
lobbying allegedly began after someone in the U.S. Department of
State leaked to the Israeli Embassy that an American company had
requested U.S. permission to describe, but not share, U.S. imagery
capabilities with non-U.S. nationals for marketing purposes.
Earlier attempts to limit U.S. satellite imagery of
Israel began with amendment 4321 attached to the 1997 Defense Authorization
Act by Sens. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R-TX), Jon Kyl (R-AZ) and Jeff
Bingaman (D-NM). Entitled Prohibition on Collection and Release
of Detailed Satellite Imagery of Israel and Other Countries and
Areas, the so-called Kyl-Bingaman amendment was
a watered-down attempt to limit U.S. commercial imagery of Israel.
Included in that amendment was a vaguely worded prohibition on collecting
and disseminating imagery of Israel unless such imagery is
no more detailed or precise than satellite imagery of the country
or geographic area concerned that is routinely available from commercial
sources. (See the August/September 1996 Washington Report
on Middle East affairs, pp. 29, 100 for a full report).
The key to this amendment was the phrase routinely
available from commercial sources. In a Nov. 20, 1996 letter
to Gilbert Rye, president of Orbital Imaging, Inc., Robert
Winokur, assistant administrator for satellite and information services
at the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
said Russias two-meter film-based imagery was deemed by U.S.
government officials to be the qualitative equivalent of one-meter
digital imagery like that obtained by U.S. commercial remote
sensing firms, the trade weekly Space News reported July
27. Russia currently markets that imagery in conjunction with Aerial
Images, Inc. of Raleigh, NC, under the brand name Spin 2.
The letter sent to Gilbert Rye, and similar letters
sent by NOAA to every major U.S. commercial satellite firm, were
widely interpreted to mean that the baseline for what is commercially
available was one-meter digital imagery. The widely held belief
in the industry was that the Kyl-Bingaman amendment would not be
enforced against U.S. firms that didnt collect digital imagery
of Israel below the one-meter threshold, which none of the major
U.S. firms planned to do.
U.S. officials, however, told Space News that
a recent U.S. government study concluded that there is no readily
and reliably available one-meter resolution imagery, which
set the stage for a significant reinterpretation of what resolution
imagery can be deemed commercially available. One industry official
countered that explanation saying that the U.S. government did
a study that supported conclusions it had already reached.
The U.S. governments rationale for preventing
the collection and sale of one-meter resolution imagery of Israel
by U.S. companies has become an all-too-familiar mantra from the
United States government to justify virtually every controversial
element of the U.S.-Israel relationship: to protect Israels
security. Overlooked by this explanation is that safeguards already
exist in the United States to protect the security of Israel (and
other U.S. allies), while simultaneously protecting U.S. commercial
interests.
Presidential Directive 23 (PD-23), signed March 9,
1994 by President Clinton, provides extensive safeguards for U.S.
interests and the security of Americas allies related to U.S.-origin
satellite imagery. PD-23 includes three important elements: shutter
control, which allows the U.S. government to instruct commercial
satellite firms to turn off their cameras; blackout zones which,
when implemented, prevent imaging of certain geographic areas (e.g.,
U.S. allies or U.S. troops deployed abroad); and distribution control,
which can limit the sale of high-quality imagery. In times of increased
tensions in the region, when timely digital imagery would be most
valuable to any of Israels potential enemies, effective mechanisms
already exist to ensure that U.S. companies do not inadvertently
jeopardize Israels security.
The U.S. as Gatekeeper
Recent efforts to limit high-resolution imagery of
Israel also overlook the intent of PD-23 and other related U.S.
legislation that was created to ensure that the United States will
lead the world in this rapidly evolving technology. Given Americas
demonstrated willingness to protect Israels national security
interests, it is in Israels best interests for U.S. companies
to act as gatekeepers of high-resolution imagery, particularly with
the safeguards in place that could be used to protect Israels
legitimate security interests. By not allowing U.S. firms to image
Israel, however, the United States loses an element of control because
there are other imagery suppliers on the world market, primarily
France and Russia, who are far less concerned about Israels
security interests. In the long run, Israels security
is best served by U.S. leadership in this field, RAND space
policy analyst Scott Pace told the Washington Report.
The security rationale also overlooks the crucial
irony that Israel spies on its neighbors with its own satellite,
the Ofeq-3, and has plans to launch a successor, the Ofeq-5, after
the failed January launch of the Ofeq-4. Israel also has real-time
access to U.S. imagery of the Middle East from a ground receiving
station in Israel that collects data from American intelligence
satellites, which undoubtedly is more useful for military purposes
than commercially available imagery.
The security explanation also ignores the simple truth
that Israel is far less threatened by its neighbors than its neighbors
are threatened by Israel. Since 1981, Israel has bombed an Iraqi
nuclear reactor (1981), invaded and continuously occupied a section
of Lebanon (1982), attacked the PLO headquarters in Tunisia using
U.S. satellite imagery stolen by convicted spy-for-Israel Jonathan
Pollard (1988), attacked Lebanon again, driving some 450,000 civilians
from their homes and killing more than 100 civilians seeking refuge
in a United Nations base (1996), and attempted to assassinate with
a chemical weapon Khaled Meshal, a mid-ranking political official
in Hamas based in Amman, Jordan. Israel also repeatedly has threatened
to attack Irans nuclear reactor at Bushehr, despite Iranian
assurances that the reactor will be open to inspection by the International
Atomic Energy Agency.
Since the January 1998 delivery to Israel of highly
advanced F-15I aircraft from the United States, Israels threats
are far from hollow. The F-15I is capable of flying from Israel
to Iran with 11 tons of weapons and flying back to Israel without
refueling.
Israels demonstrated willingness to attack its
neighbors begs the question: what countries in the Middle East are
in real need of U.S. protection?
The recent U.S. government decision also displays
a poor understanding of the value of commercial remote imagery as
it relates to Israels security. Israel has large, fixed military
assets in a relatively small country, and deploys its forces in
areas often in view of its potential enemies (e.g., the Golan Heights
and southern Lebanon). Details of Israels military posture
and capabilities also are published regularly in publicly available
sources. Janes Intelligence Review, for example, published
a detailed analysis of the weaknesses of Israels nuclear weapons
infrastructure, including low-resolution images of a nuclear weapons
storage facility outside Tel Aviv, in its September 1997 issue.
There also are some 2.5 million Palestinians in Israel
proper and the occupied territories, as well as hundreds of thousands
of Lebanese and Palestinians in Israeli-occupied southern Lebanon,
who could easily provide high quality imagery of Israels national
security assets with a hand-held camera.
In an earlier Washington Report article about
congressional attempts to limit satellite imagery of Israel, the
author speculated that commercial rather than security interests
were Israels primary motivation for preventing U.S. imagery
of Israel. In partnership with the American Core Software Technology
firm, Israel is trying to enter the commercial imagery business
by making Ofeq satellite images available on the Internet. That
explanation was echoed by one leading U.S. industry official who
told the Washington Report that Israels motivations
are all about slowing U.S. firms down long enough so Israel
can go to market with its imagery first.
Shawn
L. Twing is the Web site developer for the Washington Report on
Middle East Affairs. |