Washington Report on Middle East Affairs, September 19, 1983,
Page 7
Book Review
Negotiating For Peace In The Middle East
By Ismail Fahmy. Baltimore, Maryland: The Johns Hopkins University
Press, 1983. 331 pp. $25.00
Reviewed by Russell Warren Howe
Autobiographers and memorialists, like lawyers, present a one-sided
case; but former Egyptian foreign minister Ismail Fahmy, the perspicacious
strong-minded servant of a flawed, vain-glorious leader, has probably
written the best "insider" book on Sadat so far. Is this
Cairene Machiavelli self-serving when he approves an Egyptian emissary
meeting Dayan in Rabat, then resigns over Sadat's visit to Israel?
At least, he can cite Dayan himself to show that the Egyptians saw
Rabat as a way station to Geneva, not Jerusalem. If economic warfare
is the most civilized form of conflict, why did he not insist more
on preserving the oil embargo until it had achieved really concrete
pressure on Israel? Well, he concedes that the embargo was "lifted
too soon."
The most unusual revelation in this book comes in Romania, where
Nicolae Ceausescu, playing his pivotal role in bringing Sadat and
Begin together, tells Fahmy of Begin's plan for a Palestinian homeland.
This is not to be in the West Bank and Gaza, but in a Gaza-sized
sliver of coast just south of Lebanon. Is there some religious significance
in this? Did the Twelve Tribes never settle in Acre or Haifa? Fahmy
understandably did not believe the offer was serious.
Expelling the Soviets
As an undersecretary, Fahmy came to Sadat's attention when, in
an improvised address to a symposium, he suggested that Cairo balance
its ties o Moscow with closer links to Washington. This, he says,
helped inspire Sadat's 1972 expulsion of the huge Soviet military
mission, which in turn prompted Moscow to reingratiate itself by
increased military supplies, which made possible the politico-military
victory of 1973.
The blunt Fahmy soon established a close relationship with a president
who usually preferred sycophants in the Arab ministerial tradition.
Sadat, at this point, was "distrustful and contemptuous of
those around him." Fahmy recalls, describing the man who fell
into power by being Nasser's cypher as "complex but not sophisticated."
As Jimmy Carter and Cyrus Vance have both told this reviewer, in
interviews, Sadat had a short attention span and relied heavily
on others, including Kissinger and Carter, to do his "thinking."
Then, he would issue a pharaonic edict. As Fahmy puts it, "he
lacked the patience and tenacity to follow through till the end,
often making split-second decisions out of frustration, thereby
wrecking a delicate balance achieved during painstaking negotiations,
(even) totally reversing direction." A humane if often ineffectual
prince, he would lavish praise on his courtier for his "brilliant"
proposals—then do the opposite.
Fahmy understood that nothing short of a well-planned military
strike would shatter Israel's arrogant complacency. Sadat followed
through in 1973, with Israel being rescued by U.S. resupply, satellite
pictures of Egyptian forces, and advisors, which a timid Moscow
did not match. Fahmy asserts that it was against his advice that
Sadat refused the first ceasefire, sought by both Syria and Israel
when Egyptian forces had the advantage, then agreed to one when
the tides of war had changed and he had no choice. But he says that
Assad lied to Sadat by denying that he had asked Moscow to help
arrange a ceasefire.
Fahmy is excellent on the deviousness of Kissinger's diplomacy,
the patriotic excuse for which was that it put the U.S. in the driver's
seat. He also makes a convincing case of Kissinger's dual loyalty
to Tel Aviv, as his Watergate-obsessed president delegated more
and more proconsular power, to the distaste of Fahmy, who found
Nixon strong in resisting Israel and its lobby. But, on the whole,
the American and Egyptian Machiavellis seemed to have understood
each other well.
Sadat's Impulses
Fahmy faults Sadat for impulsively agreeing to a prisoner exchange
and giving away bargaining chips (such as agreeing to reopen the
Canal) without obtaining serious concessions, leaving Damascus stranded
and only able to regain some territory in exchange for a lifting
of the oil embargo. The 1973 war finally led to the abortive first
Geneva conference and the imposition of Kissinger's step-by-step
shuttle diplomacy.
The author praises the Carter Administration for wanting an overall
solution, involving the Soviet Union. This meant a revival of Geneva,
where Arafat had agreed to be represented by a Palestinian-American,
Prof. Edward Said of Columbia. Israel, of course, resisted such
a negotiation, preferring to pick off the Arab countries one by
one. Fahmy resisted urgings to meet privately with Dayan; Kissinger,
out of office, but still doing Israel's bidding, even offered to
arrange a secret tryst on the Rockefeller estate.
In the end, without informing Carter in advance, Sadat side-tracked
Geneva by announcing his trip to Jerusalem, with its attendant media
hype. Fahmy resigned. Carter had no choice but to see if the Knesset
caper would work. The result was Camp David, a separate peace, an
isolated Egypt, an invasion of Lebanon, and the prospect of still
another Arab-Israeli war, more deadly than the others.
Russell Warren Howe is diplomatic correspondent of The
Washington Times and U.S. correspondent of Al Majalla. |