Washington Report, August 27, 1984, Page 7
Book Review
Arab Petro Politics
By Abdulaziz Al-Sowayegh. New York: St. Martin's Press, 1984.
207 pp. $25.00
Reviewed by Ibrahim M. Oweiss
Exactly 11 years ago Salem Sabah, then Kuwait's Ambassador to the
United States and now Kuwaiti Minister of Defense, told an audience
of American businessmen in Dallas that "crude oil can be refined
into high-octane political fuel." His warning was delivered
just two months before the October, 1973, Arab-Israeli War, during
which the Arabs used their oil successfully as a political weapon
for the first time.
This book is a history of the use of oil as a political vehicle,
and a discussion of strategies for its future use by the Arab oil
exporting countries to achieve political goals.
Echoing a theme adopted almost 20 years ago at the Fifth Petroleum
Congress held in Cairo under the auspices of the League of Arab
States, the author argues that the oil weapon should not be used
only in response to acts of aggression by Israel—or its allies—against
the Arabs or their lands. It also should be used actively as a means
to liberate Palestine.
"Actors in the Oil Game"
Dr. Al-Sowayegh, an assistant deputy minister in Saudi Arabia's
Ministry of Information, has divided his book into five parts. The
first part is a brief review of the importance of Arab oil and the
manner in which the principal actors in the oil game have interacted.
These actors are (1) the major oil companies, (2) the oil importing
nations, whether industrialized or developing, and (3) the oil exporting
nations. In this section the author also provides an historical
review of OPEC's achievements during the period from 1970 to 1973,
when OPEC dictated production and pricing policies in a manner compatible
with the political aspirations of the Arab nations.
The second part is a brief presentation of the history of the Arab-Israeli
conflict and of the strategies pursued by Israel—and by the
West, the author says—to gain control of Palestine and other
Arab lands. In the same section he discusses strategies pursued
by Arab League states and how they have used the "oil weapon"
to face up to the Israeli challenge.
The third and fourth parts of the book seek to explain the evolution
of Arab oil as a political weapon and how it was used both before
and during the October, 1973, war. Elements of the Arab oil strategy
at the time included: (1) An oil production policy in which output
was reduced; (2) an Arab oil embargo which was hardly felt in 1956,
somewhat felt in 1967, and had its greatest impact in 1973; and
(3) a pricing policy under which OPEC increased the price of oil
fivefold by January, 1974.
Dr. Al-Sowayegh describes the impact of these measures on the West.
In this section he quotes a remark by former Saudi Minister of Industry
Ghazi al-Gosaibi who, in an address to the Council on Foreign Relations,
told his U.S. audience that, had it not been for America's "uncritical
support" for Israel during the 1973 war, U.S.-Saudi relations
would have developed into "a textbook case of superpower-smallpower
partnership."
The last section of this book focuses on the basic elements governing
the use of oil to achieve Arab political goals: Its role as a major
source of world energy, the presence of the bulk of world oil reserves
in Arab lands, the huge expansion of trade between the Arab nations
and the U.S. and between the Arabs and the European nations, and
the recycling of petrodollars into U.S. and European banking institutions.
The questions that arise are: Do the Arabs really possess a petro-political
power and, if so, can they utilize it effectively? Dr. Al-Sowayegh,
who received his doctorate in international relations from Claremont
University in 1976 and who taught at King Saud University in Riyadh
before joining the Saudi Ministry of Information in 1979, answers
both questions with a clear affirmative.
Less Petro-power
In spite of his strong convictions and his careful documentation
of his thesis, however, questions remain. The glut that has persisted
in international oil markets since 1980, and the reduction in demand
due—among other reasons—to the 1980-83 world recession,
have made the U. S. and Europe less dependent on imported oil. With
such developments, Arab petro-power has in fact become more limited
than before.
It can also be argued that if the Arabs have the petro-power, they
are not utilizing it adequately. An example is the failure to use
it to deter Israel from its attack on Lebanon in 1982 and its continued
occupation of southern Lebanon.
Designed as a brief study of a complex subject, the book is almost
too concise. It would have been particularly useful if the author
had expanded his discussion of one aspect of Petropower which clearly
can still be used as a political weapon: The political management
of petrodollar deposits now in American and European institutions.
Other important points also are summarized in a short paragraph
or two, leaving the reader wishing for more.
The book, however, is a useful and well-documented study. It serves
very effectively as a quick reference and, in so doing, it certainly
fills an important gap in the existing literature.
Ibrahim M. Oweiss is Professor of Economics at Georgetown University
and a member of the Executive Committee of the University's Center
for Contemporary Arab Studies.
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