July 1996, pgs. 8-12
Did Israels 1996 Election Kill the Peace Process?Six
Views
A Palestinian-American Activist
Fanatics Cannot Make Peace
By Muhammad Hallaj
What has long been considered the most dreadful threat to the future
of peace in the Middle East has become a reality. The Israeli electorate
put in office a man and a party who had opposed, condemned and deplored
every bit of progress made in the Arab-Israeli peace talks during
the past three years. Unless Binyamin Netanyahu betrays his ideology,
his party and constituencyan unlikely prospectpeace
in the Middle East is virtually dead.
The new Israeli prime minister has been outspoken and unambiguous
about his attitude toward the peace process. He rejects the
exchange of land for peace, the magic formula which succeeded
in bringing Arabs and Israelis into direct negotiations. Likud,
its leaders and constituents, still see Israeli security in terms
of territorial control, unlike Labor which has come to see Israels
futureits security and prosperityin terms of peaceful
and normal relations with its regional environment.
Netanyahu has made it clear, through policy pronouncements before
and during the recent election campaign, that he opposes the two
most essential requirements for further progress in Arab-Israeli
peace negotiations.
1. He has no intention of implementing agreements that have already
been reached, such as Israeli redeployment out of Hebron and additional
territories in the West Bank and Gaza (designated as zone B in the
Tabaor second Osloagreement).
2. He opposes negotiating final status issues, placed on the agenda
by the first Oslo agreement, which include Jerusalem, Jewish settlements,
and refugee rights, as well as withdrawal from Syrias Golan
Heights. In fact, Netanyahu has said that he wishes to renegotiate
the Oslo agreements that already have been signed at the White House
because they are unacceptable to him.
If the new Israeli government refuses to implement agreements already
reached and refuses to negotiate remaining issues in good faith,
the collapse of the peace process becomes unavoidable. Without further
agreement on the Palestinian and Syrian tracks, it would be impossible
for other Arab parties to proceed with the normalization of relations
with Israel and confrontation will replace conciliation as the order
of the day in the region.
There are those who believe that Netanyahu the prime minister will
surprise everyone and turn out to be more rational and moderate
than Netanyahu the candidate or opposition party leader. Such a
view is not justified by anything that Netanyahu has said or has
done, but by the doubtful notion that it takes a hard-liner to make
compromises. The examples of De Gaulle making peace with the Algerian
nationalists and Nixons rapprochement with China are usually
cited as precedents.
I personally do not subscribe to the notion that it takes fanatics
to be reasonable. It is advanced by apologists for fanatics and
the naive who insist on seeing a silver lining even where it does
not exist. Exceptional cases do not establish historical patterns.
Instead, the pattern of history is that fanatics are more likely
to make war than peace. The expectation that Netanyahus government
will deliver a mortal blow to the peace process is more likely than
the hope, commendable as it may be, that Netanyahu and the Israeli
right that he represents will soar above themselves and transform
into peacemakers.
Arafats Dilemma
Palestinian National Authority President Yasser Arafats credibility
among the Palestinians hinged on the premise that the small gains
made toward Palestinian self-determination were only the beginning,
and that such gains would be augmented as the process continues.
If it becomes clear that Gaza and Jericho are first and last,
as the Palestinian critics of the peace process have argued, his
credibility will erode beyond tolerable limits.
The only way to salvage Arafats leadership, and the necessary
minimum of Palestinian support for the peace process during the
lean years of the Likud government, would be a massive international
effort to revitalize the Palestinian economy. Only a quick, visible,
and substantial improvement in the quality of life for Palestinians
in the West Bank and Gaza would stave off the collapse of the peace
camp among the Palestinians, until political conditions in Israel
change again and the peace process can resume. Even this will be
a temporary measure. Nothing can replace further progress in the
peace process to help the Middle East escape the fate of being doomed
to repeat its own history.
Washingtons Obligations
Peace in the Middle East is a vital interest of hundreds of millions
of people in the region and beyond. Whether or not there is peace
in the Middle East also impinges on the U.S. national interest.
Half of the Israeli electorate, therefore, should not be allowed
to wield a veto power over the fate of the entire Middle East peace
process. The U.S. government is not only the principal sponsor of
the peace process, it also is a signatory to the agreements that
have been reached. In that sense the U.S. carries a political and
moral obligation to see to it that the process is not placed in
serious jeopardy. As a signatory to the Oslo agreements, the U.S.
government should exercise everything within its power to ensure
compliance with agreements already reached. This means, among other
things, Israeli redeployment out of Hebron, the release of remaining
Palestinian prisoners, the establishment of free access between
Gaza and the West Bank, and the lifting of travel restrictions between
Palestinian cities in the self-rule zone.
As the principal sponsor of the peace process, the U.S. government
also should ensure Israeli willingness to negotiate in good faith
final status issues, including Jerusalem, settlements and refugees,
as Israel agreed to do in the first Oslo agreement.
The peace process, the future of the Middle East, and the legitimate
interests of Europe and the United States should not be held hostage
to the politics of paranoia exploited by the rightist clique that
has come to power in Israel. If the present opportunity to bring
peace and normal relations to the Middle East fails, the very feasibility
of making peace with Israel should be and will be questioned throughout
the Arab world. It took a unique convergence of many regional and
international circumstances, not likely to be repeated, to overcome
the difficulties of bringing Arabs and Israelis to the negotiating
table. It would be cowardly and criminal to permit a handful of
Israeli fanatics to frustrate the hopes and aspirations of all of
the peoples of the Middle East.
Muhammad Hallaj is the former director of the Center for Policy
Analysis on Palestine. |