July/August 1995, pgs. 42-44
Prospects for Change in SudanTwo Views
Tie Humanitarian Assistance to Substantive Reform
By John Prendergast
Over the past year, the conflict in Sudan has shifted from an internal
civil war to a regional security crisis. The government of Sudan
now is engaged in low-intensity conflicts with neighboring Uganda
and Eritrea, with larger war clouds ominously forming on the horizon.
The rebel Sudan People's Liberation Army (SPLA) is battling the
Lord's Resistance Army, a Ugandan rebel group based in southern
Sudan. Cross-border conflict also is occurring between Sudan and
Zaire, the Central African Republic, Ethiopia and Egypt. Given its
extensive mobilization of militia in the context of a jihad
recruitment drive, the government of Sudan might have the largest
army in Africa by year's end. There is a clear possibility of a
major regional war developing over both ideology and resources,
particularly the Nile waters.
The U.S. historically has been the largest provider of humanitarian
assistance to war-torn Sudan. It is now time to step up the response
to another level, commensurate with the extraordinary requirements
created by the world's deadliest war. I propose three steps be taken:
condition all aid on good governance and human rights criteria;
build local capacities and support grassroots civil structures;
and encourage multi-level peacemaking.
Placing Conditions on Humanitarian Aid
It is commonly alleged that the U.S. and Israel cooperate in making
arms available to the SPLA, despite protestations to the contrary.
In addition to whatever covert assistance the U.S. may or may not
be providing, Washington provides millions of dollars annually in
humanitarian assistance to Sudan, representing a huge infusion of
resources in a resource-scarce environment.
Thus far, the U.S. has failed to exercise the vast potential leverage
which its aid programs offer to further good governance and human
rights, or to encourage factional reconciliation in the south. This
failure could be interpreted as reflecting Washington's comfort
with a policy of low-intensity destabilization of a pariah regime.
Egypt's ambivalence further muddles U.S. policy. Cairo abhors the
National Islamic Front (NIF), the driving force behind the Khartoum
regime, but is frightened at the prospect of an independent Southern
Sudan which could control the flow of the Nile to Egypt.
Finally, the neutrality necessary to maintain the United Nations-negotiated
humanitarian access agreement, Operation Lifeline Sudan, creates
a continuing need to be even-handed. There are a growing number
of allegations by independent critics that humanitarian policy is
being substituted for political engagement. This inaction on the
political front clearly encourages the Sudanese government on the
battlefield; Khartoum is confident it faces little international
sanction beyond rhetorical protests.
Donor governments and aid agencies understandably have shied away
from placing conditions on humanitarian assistance, yet increasingly
in an age of complex conflicts and wars seemingly without end, humanitarian
aid is often the only tie connecting the combatants and the international
community. Economic and military aid is drying up, and diplomacy
is often sporadic. It must be recognized that humanitarian aid is
not neutral, but rather has tremendous ramifications on the course
of conflicts.
Conditions should be placed on humanitarian assistance to encourage
humanitarian objectives, including basic public welfare, basic human
rights standards and basic accountability. Donors and agencies must
be allowed to engage in independent monitoring and assessment of
these criteria. When the controlling authorities fall short of the
mark, they should be circumvented to the maximum extent possible.
If this proves unworkable, and humanitarian principles are unabashedly
abused, aid should be cut off and the agencies should withdraw.
In the context of Sudan, questions about the use of aid to underwrite
Khartoum's war efforts remain unanswered. To what extent is the
international community assuming the public welfare responsibilities
of the Sudanese government, thereby freeing resources for the war?
Are aid flights from Khartoum to the south supplying soldiers in
government garrisons rather than civilians in need? Is money spent
in the pursuit of aid projects providing the government with a source
of hard currency used to prosecute the war, and are donated food
stocks in the north freeing Sudanese grain production for export
(reports say up to a million tons of northern Sudanese sorghum may
be exported this year alone)?
If donors cannot independently investigate and resolve these issues
satisfactorily, their entire aid program to the north should be
reconsidered. Yet any cut-off should be conditioned scrupulously
on consistent abuse of access, accountability and reciprocity, and
the same principles should be applied to aid to the south.
Supporting Civil Structures
A new approach to humanitarian assistance is needed. Major progress
has been made over the past year in moving away from food aid "dumping"
to a more rehabilitative approach. Further shifts need to be made
to reinforce civil structures and build up local capacity. This
paradigm should be the foundation of the Clinton administration's
Greater Horn of Africa Initiative, as well as all U.S. efforts to
respond to complex emergencies around the globe.
Agencies and donors would better serve the long-term goals of crisis
management and capacity building by focusing directly on the chiefs,
churches, women's organizations, local community groups and other
non-military elements. "Civil society" is healthiest at
the grassroots level, and any efforts to build externally driven
systems above this level are ultimately diversions from crucial
grassroots rehabilitation and reconstruction activities. The donors
should emphasize the need for creative space at the local and community
levels in their contacts with the controlling authorities.
Multi-Track Diplomacy
A renewed, coordinated, multi-track effort is needed to encourage
peacemakers within and outside Sudan to work formally and informally
to foster peace at all levels of society. Participants in peace
efforts should be drawn from governments, non-governmental organizations
(NGOs), faith groups and indigenous communities, and should operate
at the national, inter-factional and community levels.
At the national and international level, the Horn of Africa's Inter-Governmental
Authority on Drought and Development (IGADD) has moved from its
initial focus on conflict resolution to the discussion of broader
issues and more comprehensive measures. The IGADD's role in negotiations
may have stalled, but its new emphasis on larger issues of regional
stability is also important. IGADD's "success" should
not be measured solely in terms of the progress of talks between
the government of Sudan, the Sudan People's Liberation Movement
(SPLM) and the Southern Sudan Independence Movement (SSIM).
Perhaps the key to breaking the current deadlock of negotiations
is reconciliation between the rival rebel groups, the SPLM and the
SSIM. The moment for such rapprochement is ripe.
At the same time, we should not ignore the importance of local,
indigenous peace efforts among Sudanese peoples, which augur well
for communal peace and the creation of an atmosphere and momentum
which could assist peacemaking at the inter-factional and national
levels. When indigenous peoples initiate peace efforts, governments
and NGOs must be ready with materiel and personnel to strengthen
and facilitate this process.
War has raged in Sudan for three of the last four decades. The
situation will not be reversed overnight. It is increasingly apparent
that all aid, trade and diplomacy must be directed toward helping
the Sudanese themselves rebuild a culture of peace in their divided
and multi-faceted country: a goal far beyond the political or military
outcome of the current civil conflict.
John Prendergast is the director of the Horn of Africa Project
at the Center of Concern in Washington, DC. He is currently completing
a book on conflict prevention and resolution in the region under
a grant from the U.S. Institute of Peace. |