July/August 1993, Page 42
Security and Intelligence
Kuwait Rebuilds Its Defenses Despite Challenges
by Parliament
By Michael Collins Dunn
Kuwait, the only Gulf Arab state with an elected parliamentand
one controlled by the opposition at thatis wrestling with
the effort to rebuild its defenses in the wake of the Iraqi invasion
and occupation of 1990. It also is facing charges from parliamentarians
concerning the poor performance of Kuwait's armed forces in August
1990, and rumors of corruption and kickbacks in the defense procurement
process.
Kuwait has budgeted billions to rebuild its defenses in the wake
of the occupation. Much of Kuwait's equipment was destroyed during
the occupation, although some of its aircraft escaped to Saudi Arabia.
Now that the fires are out and Kuwait's oil production is recovering,
the government is committed to major defense purchases to replace
lost equipment.
Parliament, dissolved in the 1980s and reconvened last year in
accordance with wartime promises by Kuwait's rulers, is highly critical
of the government's past defense policies. The Kuwaiti armed forces
were not even on alert on the night of the Iraqi invasion. Parliament
has demanded an investigation of the Defense Ministry, and as a
result some reshuffling is now taking place.
Member of Parliament Mubarak Al-Dawila, a deputy with Islamist
affiliations, has led the charge against corruption and graft in
defense procurement. He has charged extensive impropriety in the
awarding of defense contracts, and a five-member committee has been
set up to investigate all defense purchases since the Gulf war.
Some already-contracted-for purchases might be in jeopardy as a
result.
Kuwait is moving ahead in a number of other areas, ordering modern
tanksthe American M-1and additional heavy equipment.
The McDonnell Douglas F-18s ordered before the war are entering
service, and the Kuwaitis are thinking of selling off some of their
older French Mirages. Spain recently sent a delegation to look them
over.
Realistically, of course, Kuwait's tiny armed forces could not
repel another Iraqi invasion in the future, nor could they defend
the emirate against its other aggressive neighbor, Iran, should
that become necessary. The Kuwaiti air force and armor are little
more than "speed bumps" to slow down an invader until
outside support arrives on the scene.
As a result, Kuwait has forged defense agreements with the U.S.,
Britain and France in the wake of the war, and has announced its
intention of signing a defense agreement with Russia later this
year. Defense Minister Sheikh Ali Sabah Al Salim Al Sabah has indicated
the Russian agreement will probably be signed in August. Kuwait
was the first of the conservative Arab Gulf states to have ties
with the former Soviet Union and has maintained good relations with
Russia in the wake of the Soviet breakup.
There still is no indigenous Arab Gulf deterrent
force.
The U.S.-U.K.-France-Russia agreements may put potential aggressors
on notice that Kuwait has powerful friends who came to its rescue
once and are pledged to do so again. There are, of course, some
questions about whether another Desert Storm would be possible in
some hypothetical future invasion of Kuwait, since the U.S. was
the only country capable of mounting the intervention in 1990-91,
and under President Bill Clinton the U. S. appears to have entered
a period of major defense reductions and retreat from international
engagements.
Despite pledges at the time of the war that the Gulf Cooperation
Council would become a genuine defense alliance and would build
up its joint forces, as well as the abortive "Damascus Declaration"
which envisioned Egyptian and Syrian troops deployed on a long-term
basis to the Gulf, there still is no indigenous Arab Gulf deterrent
force. The GCC has agreed to increase its existing Peninsula Shield
force slightly, but has shelved Omani proposals to build up a force
of 100,000 men for Gulf defense. And, because the GCC states never
were comfortable with the idea of large numbers of Egyptian and
Syrian troops on their soil, the Damascus Declaration is essentially
a dead letter.
At present, there is no immediate threat.
Saddam Hussain's military has been crushed and Iraq is struggling
with sanctions and with Western-imposed "no-fly zones"
over its northern and southern regions. Iran has shown considerable
assertiveness in pressing its territorial claims and other interests
in the Gulf, but any actual military threat is likely to be years
away. So far the Iranians have not been foolhardy enough to provoke
Western intervention.
A New Maginot Line?
Kuwait has, however, faced frequent border incursions from Iraq.
Nor has Iraq accepted the U.N.-drawn border demarcation which, although
based on earlier agreements, has revealed that territory long assumed
to belong to Iraq in fact lies on the Kuwait side of the newly demarcated
line. Instead, Iraq periodically has tested Western resolve by crossing
the border. One incursion was to remove missiles, another to remove
stored equipment, and several have been to arrest oil exploration
teams or others who have strayed into the formerly disputed zone
the U.N. has declared Kuwaiti. The alleged dispatch of an Iraqi
intelligence officer and his team on an unsuccessful attempt to
assassinate former U.S. President Bush also was carried out overland
through the desert.
Partly to put a stop to these persistent border violations and
partly to deter any future Iraqi invasion, Kuwait has announced
plans to build a huge defense ditch all along its border with Iraq.
The ditch would be three meters deep and five meters wide and run
along the entire 207-kilometer border. The Kuwaitis are also said
to be considering using up to 1.3 million mines to reinforce this
new fortification.
Of course, such fortifications always call to mind the Maginot
Line, and raise the question of whether Kuwait is closing the barn
door after the horse is already out. Iraq is probably not going
to try to invade Kuwait again in the near future, and there are
less elaborate types of sensors available to stop overland infiltration,
once the border itself is demarcated. A potential aggressor might
just as easily try to attack Kuwait from the sea, or through Saudi
territory, as come the way the Iraqis did in 1990.
The plans for the big ditch, along with some of the other decisions
made in the current defense buildup, raise the question of whether
the Kuwaitis are yielding to the temptation of indulging in high-visibility
prestige projects rather than really planning the best means of
deterring foreign aggression. While F-18s and M-1 tanks are certainly
highly capable fighting machines, Kuwait's small forces are going
to be stretched very thin if anyone tries to attack them again.
With the joint GCC defense schemes still nothing more than rhetoric,
the only likely deterrents are the defense agreements with the U.S.,
Britain, France and Russia. The irony is that for years Kuwait was
the Gulf state most opposed to dependence on Western or foreign
forces for Gulf defense. Now, after its bitter seven months under
Iraqi military occupation, and two more years spent in the unfinished
work of repairing the resulting physical and psychological devastation,
Kuwait is the Gulf state with the broadest range of defense agreements
in place or under negotiation. |