June 1995, Pages 32-33
Dual Containment and the Crackdown on IranTwo Views
Iran Crackdown Harms U.S. Interests And Delays Reform
In Iran
By Dokhi Fassihian
The Clinton administration's policy of attempting to further isolate
Iran in the international arena will serve no such purpose, but
instead will isolate the U.S. from the existing trends in world
trade and from moderate, reformist elements taking hold in Iran.
In its attempt to beat congressional Republicans to the punch, the
Democratic administration will implement a policy which will have
no significant impact on Tehran, but is instead intended to score
points among the American public in the upcoming presidential election.
This domestically driven agenda, however, is not in accordance with
real American foreign policy interests for two reasons.
First, without the guaranteed participation in and commitment to
this effort by the international community, the U.S. will only be
launching another war of rhetoric that places American business
in a disadvantageous position. As for Iran, it will continue to
follow its own foreign policy agenda as in the past. It will seek
nuclear material from those countries willing to supply, it will
sell its oil to those companies willing to buy, and it will continue
to destabilize the region through those terrorist groups willing
to comply.
Second, in its decision to ignore the silent and subtle trend toward
liberal reform taking place in Iran today, the Clinton administration
will fail once again to embrace those moderate elements struggling
to establish a liberal democracy in Iran.
Iranian foreign relations within the Middle East and with Western
Europe and the Far East presently are better than at any time since
the Iranian revolution. Iran most likely will have no difficulty
finding trading partners. And despite the administration's claims
that Iran is an outlaw nation actively supporting international
terrorism and in hot pursuit of nuclear capability, many of these
nations will judge otherwise, concluding that Iran poses no immediate
threat and has broken no international laws. These nations will
argue that in its effort to obtain nuclear capability, Iran has
behaved in no strikingly different way than other developing nations
seeking the same goal. In fact, Iran has been in full compliance
with United Nations resolutions on nuclear proliferation.
Iran experiences one of the most lively parliaments
in the Middle East.
Ironically, the one recent Iranian policy not in accordance with
U.N. resolutions, the arming of Bosnian Muslims, has received encouragement
from U.S. officials who claim that they, themselves, are not in
a position to arm the Muslims, but obviously welcome Iran's decision
to do so.
Many in the international community have recognized Iran not as
the radical Islamic state of the past but as a current arena for
the immensely important debate on Islam's role in the modern world.
Although the U.S. media have recently begun to report some of the
current cultural and political realities taking place inside Iran,
these observations are conspicuously missing from official U.S.
analyses.
Today, prominent Islamic reform scholars who openly call for the
separation of church and state, such as Abdul Karim Soroush, are
not only tolerated but privately encouraged by elements within the
current Iranian regime. Such dissenters are allowed to travel freely
and to teach and write both inside and outside the country. The
Iranian press permits limited debate and some opposition views to
be expressed. Iran experiences one of the most lively parliaments
and is probably the most democratic country (with the exception
of Turkey) in the Middle East.
In addition, there is a clear trend toward privatization of the
economy, toward increased personal security, the revival of the
Iranian political and cultural intelligentsia, and the recent re-identification
with and embrace of Persian identity and feelings of nationalism.
In short, Iran is experiencing, however slowly, a trend toward liberal
democratic reform of its own kind. It can no longer be considered
an Islamic state, but rather a political battleground for the ongoing
Muslim debate over Islam's future in a modern, democratic world.
Nevertheless, in the interests of domestic political gains the
Clinton administration has chosen not to recognize or publicly assess
these important reform trends taking place in Iran. In a country
of great strategic and economic importance to the U.S., one might
assume these developments to be welcomed by the U.S. government.
But any rush to establish influence through the opening of limited
dialogue and expanded trade is noticeably absent.
The U.S. policy will serve neither to guide that country's slow
process of liberalization, nor change the conduct of Iran's rulers.
What it will do is temporarily set back U.S. interests in the region,
and may delay the inevitable process of reform in Iran.
Dokhi Fassihian is a 1995 graduate in Middle Eastern Studies
at George Mason University in Northern Virginia. |