Washington Report on Middle East Affairs, June 1987, page
2
Editorial
The War that Changed the Issue
Arabs and Israelis disagree even on the name of the war that broke
out between them 20 years ago this month. Arabs call it the "June
War," to distinguish it from the five others that have taken
place as a direct result of the Palestinian-Israeli dispute. Israelis
call it the "Six Day War" to point up the speed with which
they took on, and defeated, all comers. Both sides disagree over
who started it.
Israeli forces had been conducting a series of increasingly devastating
"retaliatory" raids against Jordanian-controlled West
Bank villages. Egyptian forces, sometimes only a few miles away,
stood helplessly idle behind a screen of UN troops, on their own
soil, separating them from Israel. Then Syria informed Egyptian
President Gamal Abdel Nasser that intercepted communications indicated
Israeli forces were massing for an attack against Syria. A skeptical
Nasser asked Soviet military advisers if the Syrian reports were
true. The Russians confirmed them. Nasser then asked that the UN
forces separating his troops from Israel's be withdrawn. UN Secretary
General U Thant complied but, inexplicably, also withdrew UN forces
from the Straits of Tiran, also on Egyptian soil. This freed Egypt
to blockade Israeli shipping transiting the Gulf of Aqaba, Israel's
only outlet to Asia and the Far East. When asked if he would bar
Israeli shipping from the waterway, Nasser said yes.
It's clear who started the fighting, since Israel wiped out the
Egyptian Air Force on the ground on the first morning, and the Syrian
Air Force on the ground on the same afternoon. The Israelis respond
that Nasser's blockade threat made an Israeli "pre-emptive"
attack inevitable.
Both sides agree that the US could have prevented the war, but
disagree on how. Israel says the US was obligated by secret agreement
to run the blockade with its own Navy ships. (President Lyndon Johnson
was preparing an international naval flotilla to do just that when
the Israelis attacked.) The Arabs point out that when Nasser realized
what was happening, he asked for US diplomatic intervention to halt
the rush toward war. He scheduled a visit by Egyptian Vice President
Mohieddin to Washington June 7, to be followed by a visit to Cairo
by US Vice President Hubert Humphrey. The Israelis responded by
advancing the scheduled date of their surprise attack to June 5.
Documents and memoirs published since 1967 make it clear that certain
Israeli leaders, notably Israel's first Prime Minister, David Ben-Gurion,
and his protege, Moshe Dayan, had resolved that Israel must take
control of key areas of the West Bank from Jordan, the Golan Heights
from Syria, and areas south of the Litani River from Lebanon before
any peace settlement would be negotiated. To obtain these territories
which had eluded them in the 1948 fighting, they were determined,
if necessary, to provoke another war to ensure that the waters rising
in or flowing under these areas would be available to sustain Israel's
population and an additional 12 million Jews they expected to "return"
to the Holy Land from the Soviet Union and the United States. Their
expansionist plans were supported by harder-line "revisionist"
political opponents, for whom Israeli control of the entire West
Bank is a "minimal" pre-requisite for a Jewish state whose
boundaries, they maintain, were defined by God.
Therefore, regardless of whether the Israelis, the Syrians, or
the Soviets engineered the intercepted Israeli military communications,
both Nasser and U Thant reacted exactly as these Israel leaders
must have hoped they would. The provided the casus belli
for one of the most meticulously planned, coordinated, and successful
military attacks in history. When King Hussein, damned if he did
and damned if he didn't, ordered his forces to support Egypt and
Syria, the Ben-Gurion-Dayan dream was realized. Within six days
Israel had defeated Egypt, Jordan, and Syria in that order and controlled
all of the lands it coveted except Southern Lebanon, which it has
since occupied.
By anyone's reckoning, therefore, after 1967 the issue between
Israel and the Arabs was no longer the survival of the Jewish state.
Instead, it has been how much occupied territory Israel would return
to secure peace and recognition from its Arab neighbors. UN Security
Council Resolution 242 of November, 1967, sought to answer this
question. It calls for "withdrawal of Israeli armed forces
from territories occupied in the recent conflict" in return
for Arab acquiescence in Israel's right to exist within secure and
recognized boundaries. It therefore would return the West Bank and
Gaza to the Palestinians or Jordan, the Golan Heights to Syria,
and Sinai to Egypt (as has subsequently occurred.) Jerusalem would
either be re-partitioned or, as a city sacred to Christians, Jews,
and Muslims alike, would remain united with internationally-guaranteed
equal access by all of its inhabitants, regardless of religious
affiliation, as envisioned by the original UN Partition Resolution
of 1947.
The 1967 war also changed attitudes. In Israel, everyone knows
that very few additional Jews are coming from the Soviet Union,
the US or anywhere else. Israel is losing more Jews through emigration
to the west than it is gaining through immigration from both east
and west. And the birthrate of Jews who stay is not much different
from the mere replacement rates of western Europe. Israel actually
is concealing the fact that perhaps a half million of the three
million plus Jews it claims as citizens don't really reside in Israel
any more. If they visit from abroad just once every four years,
they are considered present and accounted for in Israel's resident
population. Israel's three million Jews, therefore, can afford to
share the water with its 750,000 Arab citizens and all of the 1,500,000
Palestinians presently living in the occupied West Bank and Gaza.
The shock of the 1967 defeat changed Arab attitudes as well. Initially
the rhetoric sounded strident, but it no longer masked the realization
that, so long as Israel was backed by the US, there was no possibility
of a clear-cut Arab military victory. Arabs would be better off
to concentrate on building such strong educational, economic, social,
and political institutions that they would no longer feel threatened
by what they have begun to accept as a tiny but ineradicable enclave
of Western colonialism in their midst. Their resigned acceptance
of the Jewish state's presence was quietly signaled by a new, but
unmistakable, distinction in their rhetoric between the "occupied
Arab lands" (meaning occupied in 1967), which they demanded
be returned, and the lands occupied earlier, which they did not.
The outcome in 1967, therefore, made the Resolution 242 land-for-peace
plan realizable—psychologically, politically, and demographically.
Leaders of at least half of the Israeli electorate will be able
to acknowledge this when the US begins—firmly, unmistakably,
and effectively—to support them, and not their hard-line Israeli
opponents. Yasir Arafat, who enjoys the support of at least 80 percent
of the 4.5 million Palestinians world-wide, has signaled his readiness
to acknowledge this clearly the moment the US acknowledges with
equal clarity the Palestinian right to self-determination. All other
potential parties to a peace settlement, specifically the US, the
UK, the USSR, the Western European nations, and the Arab confrontation
states, including Syria, have at one time or another accepted UN
Security Council Resolution 242's land-for-peace formula.
It took 20 years and three wars between 1947 and 1967 for the outlines
of the Arab-Israeli settlement to become clear. It has taken 20
more years and three more wars from 1967 to 1987 for leaders on
both sides to acknowledge publicly that the issue no longer is whether
there will be a state for Jews, but whether Israel will return the
West Bank and Gaza so that there can be a state for Palestinians,
as also promised in the 1947 UN Partition Resolution.
Must the world tremble and Jews and Arabs suffer through another
20 years of alternating uneasy peace and bloody warfare in the Middle
East before the US exercises its responsibility by helping moderates,
and rejecting extremists, on both sides of the confrontation lines?
Israeli and Palestinian leaders can now make a peace that both can
live with. We, and the many countries which will follow a strong,
even-handed US lead, must therefore push, pull, and cajole
all parties to the peace table. The actors are preparing for the
next scene in the Mideast drama, but the US must provide the initial
cue. Will it be another still 20 years of war, or the first 20 years
of peace?—Richard Curtiss
Richard Curtiss is Executive Director of the American Educational
Trust and author of A Changing Image: American Perceptions
of the Arab-Israeli Dispute. |