Washington Report on Middle East Affairs, May/June
1998, Pages 49-50
Congress Watch
After Much Pro-Israel Posturing, Most Pending
Middle East Legislation Has Little Chance of Passage
By Shirl McArthur
Several bills of interest to the Middle East made
progress through Congresss legislative maze prior to the Easter
recess. However, only one of them seems likely to be enacted into
law before the end of the 105th Congress.
Foreign Affairs Reform and Payment of U.N. Arrears
(HR 1757). This bill has received the most publicity, and has
the least chance of being signed into law. The conference committee
formed to reconcile the House and the Senate versions of the bill
finally issued its report, and the report was approved by the full
House by voice vote on March 26. Senate action on the conference
report has not been scheduled.
Nearly all of the offensive provisions contained in
the bill as it earlier passed the House and the Senate were dropped
from the final version as it emerged from the conference committee.
However, five Middle East-related provisions remain from the earlier
versions, and a new one has been added, authorizing a $38 million
package of programs aimed at helping to oust Iraqi President Saddam
Hussain, including $5 million to establish a Radio Free Iraq
and $3 million to fund a U.N. effort to establish an international
tribunal to indict, prosecute, and punish Saddam and other Iraqi
officials.
The worst of the provisions that were kept is the
one designed to restate congressional policy regarding Jerusalem
as the capital of Israel. However, while the earlier versions contained
language specifically reaffirming that it is U.S. policy that Jerusalem
should remain the undivided capital of Israel, the conference report
has dropped that language. It has, however, retained the four provisions
authorizing money for the construction of a U.S. embassy in Jerusalem
by May 31, 1999; placing the U.S. Consulate in Jerusalem under the
supervision of the U.S. ambassador to Israel; requiring that U.S.
government documents that list countries and their capitals identify
Jerusalem as the capital of Israel; and allowing U.S. citizens born
in Jerusalem to record their country of birth as Israel, if they
wish.
The other provisions kept from at least one of the
earlier versions included one authorizing $2 million for radio broadcasts
to Iran in the Farsi language; the provision requiring the secretary
of state to report to Congress every four months on progress in
resolving commercial disputes between U.S. firms and the government
of Saudi Arabia; one requiring the U.S. government to help Israel
gain acceptance into a U.N. regional bloc, and to seek the abolition
of certain U.N. organizations that have the temerity to occasionally
criticize Israel, such as the Division on Public Information on
the Question of Palestine; and finally, and to no ones surprise,
the conference report keeps the $80 million authorization for refugee
resettlement in Israel.
Domestic politics take priority over national interest
in an election year.
The reason that this bill has almost no chance of
being passed into law, at least in its present form, is that the
conference report also kept the language prohibiting U.S. funding
for family planning organizations that perform abortions or promote
liberalized abortion laws overseasthe so-called Mexico
City language.
The White House has already said, by letter to Rep.
Lee Hamilton (D-IN), the ranking minority member of the House International
Relations Committee, that President Clinton will veto HR 1757 if
it is presented to him. This confirms that both the administration
and the Republican congressional leadership have decided that domestic
politics take priority over national interest in an election year.
The White House does not want to alienate its pro-abortion constituency,
and the congressional leadership does not want to alienate its anti-abortion
constituency.
Furthermore, House Democrats are furious at the way
the Republican House leadership, especially International Relations
Committee Chairman Ben Gilman (D-NY), railroaded the conference
report through the House. Hamilton, who is retiring at the end of
this congressional session, described in detail on the floor of
the House how this happened. He said that not a single meeting of
the whole conference committee took place after last July.
Instead, Gilman met with the Republican members of
the conference committee and crafted a Republican conference report
and brought it to the floor without consulting a single Democratic
member.
Said Hamilton, We are not deliberating, we are
politicking; we are not making law, we are making political speeches.
He then proceeded to specify several objections to the bill besides
the Mexico City language, including parts of the new
anti-Saddam provision and the fact that the bill threatens
the leadership position of the U.S. in helping parties to negotiate
peace in the Middle East. Rep. Ed Torres (D-CA) joined in
support of Hamiltons objections and said, we all know
the president is going to veto this bill in its present form. So
we know, in essence, this is a game and a charade
We played
this game last year, it was an embarrassment to the world, and we
are playing it again.
Freedom from Religious Persecution (HR 2431). This
bill is near passage by the House, but it, too, has little chance
of being enacted into law. As we reported in previous issues, the
bills sponsor, Rep. Frank Wolf (R-VA), modified his original
bill in response to several objections. Subsequently, Gilmans
committee modified it further and reported it to the full House
on April 1.
As with Wolf's modified bill, however, the reported
bill still would establish an Office of Religious Persecution Monitoring,
require the office to send reports to Congress, require specific,
unilateral sanctions on those countries named in the report as engaging
in religious persecution, and the bill still includes a full section
detailing a broad range of sanctions against Sudan. (Interestingly,
California Republican Rep. Tom Campbell infuriated Gilman during
the committee mark-up session by proposing an amendment to delete
the section pertaining to Sudan. Gilman summarily ruled Campbells
amendment out of order, and it was not brought to a vote. It is
worth remembering that it was Campbell who last year infuriated
AIPAC by getting an amendment inserted into the House version of
the foreign aid appropriations bill that reduced economic aid to
Israel and Egypt by $25 million and increased the Africa Development
Fund by the same amount. However, Campbells amendment, which
would have set a precedent for transferring some of the surplus
in bloated Middle East foreign aid to chronically underfunded programs,
did not survive the appropriations conference committee.)
During the committee markup session, Deputy Assistant
Secretary of State Alan Kreezko outlined the administrations
objections to the way the bill would corrupt U.S. immigration policy
in favor of religious refugees. In the final committee report, Reps.
Hamilton, Campbell, Alcee Hastings (D-FL), and Earl Hilliard (D-AL)
filed formal dissenting views. Hamilton, Hastings, and Hilliard
described a long list of objections to the bill, including the fact
that countries found to fit the bills definition of religious
persecutors would automatically be sanctioned. They pointed out
that Indonesia, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia would surely be found in
violation, and they said, How would sanctions against Indonesia
impact on jittery world financial markets?
How would sanctions
against Egypt
advance the Middle East peace process? How would
sanctions against Saudi Arabia impact on the presence of U.S. troops
in Saudi Arabia, and advance the vital U.S. national interest in
the secure and stable flow of oil from the Persian Gulf? Campbells
objection was that the sanctions against Sudan make no provision
for unforeseen circumstances. However, theirs were voices in the
wilderness, and the committee approved the bill, with only Rep.
Matt Salmon (R-AZ) joining Campbell, Hamilton, Hastings, and Hilliard
in voting against it.
There are signs that the dissenting voices were heard
in the Senate, however, if not in Gilmans committee. The day
after Gilmans markup session, Sen. Don Nickles (R-OK) introduced
the International Religious Freedom Act of 1998 (S 1868).
Nickles bill expresses and strengthens U.S.
policy with respect to religious freedom, but it contains none of
the objectionable features of the Wolf bill. It provides for a graduated
scale of sanctions, ranging from quiet, private consultation with
the offending country to the withdrawal of U.S. aid or preferential
tariff treatment. Furthermore, it includes a flexible presidential
waiver provision.
An interesting aspect of the Nickles bill is that
Senate Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman Jesse Helms (R-NC) is
one of the nine co-sponsors. We take this to mean that the Senate
will likely pass the Nickles bill as an alternative to the Wolf
bill. Since the Republican congressional leadership very much wants
a religious freedom bill to be able to point to during the election
campaign, we suspect that the Nickles bill will prevail, but perhaps
not without a fight.
Iran Missile Protection Act (HR 2786). This
bill, now known as the Theater Missile Defense Improvement
Act of 1998, was reported out of the House National Security
Committee on March 26 and passed by the full House on March 30.
The committee drastically revised the bill since we described it
in the March issue of the Washington Report.
It no longer directs Defense Department officials
to meet with Russian officials to determine the extent of Russian
cooperation and assistance in developing Iran's ballistic missile
capability, and to determine the extent and technical nature of
that capability. Nor does it prohibit the obligation of $3 million
in FY 98 cooperative ballistic missile defense projects with
Russia until the U.S. president certifies to Congress that Russia
is fully cooperating in providing this information.
The bill still authorizes additional appropriations
for research, development, test, and evaluation of specified missile
defense systems, radars, networks, and related activities. It also
directs the secretary of defense to report to Congress on the Iranian
ballistic missile threat in the Middle East and Persian Gulf regions,
and to identify other actions that could be taken to counter threats
posed by ballistic missiles deployed by Iran and other nations.
The bill also authorizes $10 million to be available to improve
interoperability of the Israeli Arrow tactical ballistic missile
defense system with U.S. theater missile defense systems.
While many of the pending Middle East-related provisions
are little more than pro-Israel posturing, this bill is likely to
be passed into law now that it has been modified to meet administration
objections that it could harm U.S. policy objectives in Russia.
By retaining the provision that, in effect, further subsidizes Israels
Arrow program, the bill ensures continued support from Israels
loyal congressmen, further increasing its chances of passage.
The Iran Missile Sanctions Bill (HR 2709). As
we have previously reported, last November the House passed HR 2709,
which would require that sanctions be imposed on any foreign
person found to have transferred goods or technology, or provided
technical assistance or facilities, that contributed to Irans
efforts to acquire, develop, or produce ballistic missiles. As with
the original version of HR 2786 (see above), this appears aimed
at Russia and China as well as Iran. The administration objected
that such a sledge-hammer approach does not help its diplomatic
efforts with either.
As passed by the House, the bill also includes the
text of the unrelated bill (S 610), which the Senate had already
passed, implementing the Chemical Weapons Convention treaty. This
irritated both the White House and the State Department, who said
that, if the bill passes both houses of Congress in that form, they
would recommend that the president veto it.
We therefore expected that the Senate would ignore
HR 2709, consider its own version of the bill (without the Chemical
Weapons Convention implementation bill attached), and wait for the
House to pass S 610, which technically is still pending.
To our surprise, on April 3 Senate Majority Leader
Trent Lott (R-MO) asked for and received unanimous consent that
the full Senate consider HR 2709 no earlier than May 20 and no later
than May 22. Furthermore, the consent agreement included a stipulation
that the only amendment in order would be one offered by Sen. Carl
Levin (D-MI) relating to the date of behavior subject to sanctions.
This move frankly is confusing, and we will look forward to seeing
what happens.
Saddam Hussain War Crime Prosecution Bill (SConRes
78). This is the concurrent resolution introduced by Sen. Arlen
Specter (R-PA), which we described in our March issue. It says that
the president should call for the establishment of a U.N. commission
to establish Saddams criminal culpability, and
calls for the U.N. to form an international tribunal to indict,
prosecute, and imprison Saddam and other Iraqi officials.
This resolution was passed by the full Senate on March 13. Theoretically,
it next goes to the House for consideration and passage. However,
the House much earlier (November 1997) passed a similar resolution,
sponsored by Gilman. Since these resolutions are non-binding, and
since each house of Congress now has had the opportunity to vent
its outrage against Saddam Hussain, it is possible that neither
the House nor the Senate will take any further action on the others
resolution.
Violence in Algeria (H Res 374). This resolution
was introduced by Rep. Steve Chabot (R-OH), and co-sponsored by
Rep. Alcee Hastings (D-FL), in early March. It condemns terrorist
groups and perpetrators of violence and other crimes against the
human rights of Algerians, calls on the government of Algeria to
take all necessary and legal steps to stop the violence and to enter
into a dialogue with nonviolent opposition elements in Algeria,
and urges the U.S. government to continue to work closely with the
Algerian government to bring about political and economic reform
as well as the full restoration of law and order in Algeria.
We assumed that Gilman would not put this resolution
high on his priority list. However, surprisingly, his committee
considered it on April 1 and agreed to seek its consideration by
the full House. Although the resolution will probably die in the
Senate, the fact that it will likely pass the House is a positive
development.
Shirl McArthur,
a retired foreign service officer, is a senior consultant with Bruce
Morgan Associates, an international research and consulting firm in
the Washington, DC area. |