Washington Report on Middle East Affairs, May/June
1998, Pages 43-44
Special Report
With Largely One-Sided Witnesses, Hearings Cover
Iraq, Middle East Peace Process, and Sanctions
By Shirl McArthur
Iraq and the peace process were the main Middle East-related
subjects interesting enough to energize congressional committees
into holding hearings during March and early April. However, the
Senate Foreign Relations Committee also unexpectedly held a hearing
on a potentially very interesting bill that could reform the way
the U.S. imposes unilateral economic sanctions.
Iraq
The House International Relations Committee (HIRC),
chaired by Rep. Benjamin Gilman (R-NY), invited Assistant Secretary
of State for Near Eastern Affairs Martin Indyk to review developments
in the Middle East on March 10. Indyk was the only witness. Coming
just two weeks after the cooling down of the crisis over U.N. weapons
inspections in Iraq, U.S. policy toward Iraq was of major interest
to the committee members.
Gilman opened by asking what the U.S. long-term strategy
is for Iraq. Does the administration plan to establish military
exclusion zones in Iraq to facilitate opposition activities? Would
a provisional government be established? Would frozen Iraqi assets
be made available to these opposition groups? Would radio broadcasts
be stepped up?
Indyks responses and his prepared statement
regarding Iraq were guarded and he avoided being pinned down. In
responding to questions about Iraqi opposition groups, Indyk never
mentioned the Iraqi National Congress or its leader, Ahmad Chalabi,
who had made the rounds of Washington and Capital Hill the previous
week, including an appearance before the Senate Foreign Relations
Committee (see the Washington Report April 1998 issue).
Indyk said the administration is looking into proposals
to step up funding for Iraqi opposition groups and for a radio
free Iraq. (Also, see below.) He said that there are legal
problems involved in providing frozen Iraqi assets to opposition
groups, but if a provisional government were constituted, it would
reduce those problems. He also said that the U.S. hesitates to lift
economic sanctions on areas controlled by the opposition, because
goods and money will leak into areas controlled by Saddam. He also
noted that if the U.S. were to declare that it was actively seeking
Saddams overthrow, it would weaken support for economic sanctions
within the U.N. Security Council.
Both in his prepared statement and in response to
questions from committee members, Indyk took pains to emphasize
the amount of international support the U.S. had in the confrontation
with Iraq. He said that 23 nations had offered to participate in
military operations had they been required, and that Egypt and the
countries of the Gulf were ready to provide the support we
needed when we needed it. Reps. Tom Lantos (D-CA) and Sam
Gejdenson (D-CT) disagreed with Indyk on this point, especially
regarding Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait.
Organizations likely to give opposing viewpoints were
actively rejected.
Iraq was also the primary subject of a hearing held
by the Senate Armed Services Committee on March 25, although the
focus was different than in the HIRC. Testifying were Dr. Paul Wolfowitz,
dean of the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International
Studies (SAIS); Dr. Anthony Cordesman, Georgetown University Center
for Strategic and international Studies; and Mr. David Kay, the
chief U.N. weapons inspector during 1991 and 1992.
Cordesmans testimony was more descriptive of
the situation in the Gulf than prescriptive. Wolfowitzs and
Kays testimonies were similar to what they had been saying
in Washington and on Capitol Hill since early February (see our
April issue).
Wolfowitz strongly believes that the goal should be
to help the Iraqi people liberate themselves, and that the U.S.
government should recognize and assist in all practicable ways a
provisional free Iraq government and should appropriate
money to that end.
Kay repeated his criticism of the agreement obtained
by U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan as not likely to lead to the
main goal of removing Saddams weapons of mass destruction.
He said the only way to achieve this goal is through political change
in Iraq, and he listed several things the U.S. could do to accelerate
political change. One of those steps would be to abandon the
myth that there can be a stable Gulf policy apart from a stable
Middle East.
As long as Arab-Israeli politics remains characterized
by daily violence and deep distrust, stability in the Gulf will
never be possible.
Meanwhile, although policy issues regarding Iraq remain
unresolved, both Congress and the Clinton administration are pushing
ahead to make de facto policy. The administration requested $1.36
billion for additional military deployment in the Gulf, as part
of the $18 billion supplemental appropriations bill (which also
includes disaster relief funds, emergency money for the IMF, and
money for peacekeeping operations in Bosnia) that has
passed both houses of Congress, but in different forms.
The Senate version of the bill includes $5 million
for economic assistance to the Iraqi opposition, and $5 million
to establish a Radio Free Iraq. The House version includes
a provision prohibiting the use of funds for the conduct of military
operations against Iraq unless such operations are specifically
authorized by a law enacted after the date of this Act. However,
since the two versions of the bill are very different, they will
have to be reconciled in a conference committee, and there is no
way of telling which, if any, of these provisions will remain in
the final version.
The Peace Process
In his appearance before the HIRC, Indyk was relatively
pessimistic regarding the peace process. He said the administration
senses that the window of peacemaking is now closing, and said that
it is essential that both sides find ways to move forward. He listed
four elementsone aimed at the PA, two aimed at Israel, and
one aimed at bothnecessary for negotiations to proceed:
- enhanced security cooperation and intensified efforts to fight
terrorism
- further redeployments in accordance with existing agreements
- a time-out regarding unilateral steps
- acceleration of permanent status negotiations, with a mutually
agreed target date.
This display of apparent even-handedness did not sit
well with such stalwart supporters of Israel as Lantos, Robert Menendez
(D-NJ), and Howard Berman (D-CA), whose comments showed unswerving
support for Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahus government
and criticism for everything Palestinian.
However, the House hearing was tame compared with
what happened the next day at Sen. Sam Brownbacks (R-KS) Senate
Foreign Relations Middle East subcommittee hearing, supposedly on
the same subject (review of Middle East developments).
This hearing was almost exclusively devoted to the
peace process, and it was blatantly stacked in favor of the Israeli
position. In addition to Indyk, the witnesses were Sens. Jon Kyl
(R-AZ) and Joe Lieberman (D-CT), neither of whom is considered objective
on matters concerning Israel, and three independent
witnesses known for their strong ties to Israel: Robert Satloff,
of the AIPAC spin-off think tank, Washington Institute for Near
East Policy; Daniel Pipes, editor of the Middle East Quarterly;
and self-styled terrorism expert Steve Emerson.
Not only were organizations likely to give opposing
viewpoints not invited, their efforts to participate were actively
rejected. The Arab American Institute (AAI) learned of the proposed
hearing as early as Jan. 15, and immediately began efforts to be
invited to participate. All such efforts by it and other organizations
were systematically rebuked.
Finally, in frustration, the AAI and the American-Arab
Anti-Discrimination Committee (ADC) jointly held a press conference
(an hour before Brownbacks hearing) to denounce the one-sided
nature of the hearing. AAI President James Zogby pointed out that
the majority of those testifying at the hearing were pursuing their
own agenda, which he described as an agenda that is inimical
to U.S. interests in the region. ADC President Hala Maksoud
said that one-sided hearings are becoming a pattern, and one-sided
hearings are bound to lead to a skewed policy.
Indyks presentation to Brownbacks subcommittee
was similar to his presentation to the HIRC. In comparison with
the other witnesses, and with Brownbacks own statements, Indyk
came across as balanced and objective, although his personal sympathies,
developed as a paid AIPAC lobbyist for Israel, are well known.
The only other reasonable comments at the hearing
came from Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA), who pointed out the obvious
fact that Israel cannot survive surrounded by hostile people whose
legitimate aspirations are being denied. She also said that unilateral
steps are unhelpful, including unilateral steps by the U.S., such
as relocating the U.S. Embassy to Jerusalem. (It should be recalled
that Feinstein was instrumental in getting the national security
waiver provision inserted into the Jerusalem Embassy Act just prior
to passage.)
Brownbacks remarks are a different matter. He
is a former Kansas representative who is serving out the term of
Bob Dole, who resigned from the Senate to run for president. Brownback
was a competent representative, but is out of his depth in the Senate.
He is clearly in over his head as chairman of the Middle East subcommittee,
having abrogated his responsibility to the Israel lobby.
He has little experience or apparent interest in international
policy, let alone Middle East policy, and seems preoccupied with
his other position as chairman of the Senate Governmental Affairs
Committees District of Columbia Oversight Subcommittee. Over
the past year, his comments have become increasingly pro-Israeli,
capped by his opening statement at the March 11 hearing, in which
he said he believes the peace process will remain stalled until
we see a serious commitment by the Palestinians towards fulfilling
their security obligations. He made no reference to Israels
obligations or Binyamin Netanyahus rejection of the U.S.-backed
peace process.
Brownback, who is up for re-election this year, had
already received $12,500 in campaign contributions from pro-Israel
political action committees by the end of 1997, bringing to $27,000
his career total of such contributions.
Sanctions Reform
In a surprise move, the Senate Foreign Relations Committees
International Economic Policy Subcommittee, chaired by Sen. Chuck
Hagel (R-NE), held a hearing on March 25 on the Sanctions Policy
Reform Act, which was introduced last November by Sen. Dick Lugar
(R-IN) as S 1413, and in the House by Reps. Lee Hamilton (D-IN)
and Philip Crane (R-IL) as HR 2708. The Lugar bill has 10 co-sponsors,
and the Hamilton-Crane bill has 36 co-sponsors. The subcommittee
heard testimony from Lugar, Hamilton, and several U.S. business
representatives, mostly representing agricultural interests, all
of whom expressed support for the proposal.
In presenting his bill to the subcommittee (Lugar
is a member of the Foreign Relations Committee, but not of the International
Economic Policy subcommittee), Lugar pointed out that numerous studies
conducted by think tanks, trade groups, the business community,
and others have concluded that unilateral sanctions rarely succeed
in achieving the intended foreign policy goals, seldom help those
they are intended to assist, and often hurt the U.S. more than the
target country. He compared unilateral economic sanctions to carpet
bombing in warfareboth are indiscriminate and fail to distinguish
between innocent and guilty victims.
However, he said the Lugar-Hamilton-Crane bill is
not intended to prevent or oppose the use of unilateral economic
sanctions, but to improve the process by which sanctions are considered
in both the Congress and the executive branch. He called it a modest
bill that applies to a limited class of unilateral, foreign
policy-motivated sanctions that are intended to accomplish one or
more foreign policy objectives. Furthermore, since the legislation
is not retro active, it would not affect existing U.S. sanctions.
What the bill would do is establish procedural guidelines
and informational requirements before unilateral economic sanctions
are considered by the Congress or imposed by the president. Prior
to invoking sanctions, the bill requires assessments of the sanctions
economic costs to the U.S. and its friends and allies, the humanitarian
consequences, the amount of international support, the impact on
the U.S. as a reliable supplier, whether other options have been
explored and tested, and the prospects that the sanctions will accomplish
the stated foreign policy goals. In addition, there is a sunset
provision that would automatically terminate the sanctions
unless specifically reauthorized, and the bill includes a presidential
waiver provision.
We asked Lugars office for its assessment of
the likelihood that the legislation can be passed this year. The
spokesman said his colleagues were cautiously optimistic. There
seems to be a great deal of support within the committee and in
the Senate, but the big question will be whether there will be enough
time to bring the measure to a vote in the full Senate. Even if
it passes the Senate, the bill still must make its way through the
House, where it has been referred to three separate committees for
comment.
In any event, this bill is among the most thoughtful
and important pieces of legislation to be introduced in the 105th
Congress, and it bears careful attention. As Lugars spokesman
said, even if the legislation does not pass this year, it has to
happen sooner or later, because current U.S. sanctions policy is
a mess.
Shirl McArthur,
a retired foreign service officer, is a senior consultant with Bruce
Morgan Associates, an international research and consulting firm in
the Washington, DC area. |