Washington Report on Middle East Affairs, April/May
1999, page 51
Election Watch
In 1998 Election Cycle Pro-Israel PACs Treaded Water
While Previously Dormant Arab/Muslim-American PACs Came Alive
By Richard H. Curtiss
Fifty-eight active pro-Israel political action committees (PACs)
donated a total of $2,090,857 to 337 Senate and House candidates
over the two-year 1997-1998 election cycle, according to PAC filings
with the Federal Election Commission. By contrast, during the same
period one active Muslim-American and two active Arab-American PACs
donated a total of $91,700 to 52 congressional candidates, meaning
they were outspent 23 to 1.
Strangely, this is a positive development for activists advocating
a balanced U.S. Middle East policy. This is because in 1996 Arab/Muslim
PACs were outspent 133 to 1.
The total of pro-Israel donations reflected a continuing downward
trend in funds disbursed to candidates since the 1988 election cycle,
when pro-Israel PACs collected $10,805,762 and donated $4,609,984
of this to 420 candidates. In the 1998 cycle pro-Israel PACs collected
only $5,228,998.
The downward spiral for Israeli PACs reflects three factors. Revelations
of excessive salaries and high adminstrative overhead resulted in
a precipitate drop in revenues collected from their 1992 all-time
high of $14,015,509, of which only $3,963,007 was donated to candidates.
Revenues collected in the following, 1994 cycle dropped by more
than 50 percent. Although the pro-Israel PACs made better use of
the funds collected in 1994, lack of enthusiasm for the policies
of Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, elected in 1996, also
may have contributed to the low total of funds collected in the
1996 U.S. election cycle.
It is equally likely that pro-Israel donors also found better
ways to avoid disclosure of total donations to candidates in 1998
by giving more “soft money” to party committees in states where
pro-Israel candidates needed help. Even before the soft money loophole
was so widely used, Israel’s principal Washington, DC lobby, the
American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), whose directors
established most of the pro- Israel PACs, boasted that for every
dollar donated through its PACs, another dollar was donated directly
to candidates by AIPAC members. There is good reason to suspect
that, with the advent of soft money, an even larger percentage of
pro-Israel money now reaches candidates while evading the FEC’s
PAC reporting requirements.
Dismal as the 23-to-1 advantage of pro-Israel PACs over their
rivals may seem, the figure represents a remarkable upturn for the
Muslim/Arab Americans, thanks largely to the Arab American Leadership
PAC. Muslim/Arab American PAC donations to candidates have never
exceeded $38,400 in previous election cycles, and in three previous
cycles the Arab/Muslim-American PACs were outspent by more than
200 to 1 by pro-Israel PACs.
While the huge financial gap between pro-Israel PACs and their
opponents has started narrowing, Arab Americans and Muslim Americans
also are increasing in voting strength. There are at most five million
Jews in the U.S., and that figure is static, while America’s Muslim
population is estimated at six to seven million and growing, with
an additional one and a half to two million Christian Arab Americans
sharing Muslim-American positions on Middle East issues.
Arab-American and Muslim-American political organizations now
are seeking to capitalize on their numerical advantage by encouraging
their communities to match traditionally high Jewish election turnout
figures. Results already are showing in certain heavily urbanized
and industrialized states, such as Michigan, which has concentrations
of both Muslims and Christian Arab Americans, and where some congressmembers
have become increasingly independent from AIPAC lobbyists.
Other key states with significant and growing concentrations of
Muslim/Arab-American voters include California, Illinois, Ohio,
New York, New Jersey and Florida.
To view the PAC Charts in their entirety, click
here.
—Richard H. Curtiss (based on data compiled and charts prepared
by Rob Swanson, Raja’ Abu-Jabr, Sadia Razaq and Samia El-Mahdi) |