Washington Report on Middle East Affairs, April 1998, Pages
24-25
Congress Watch
Administration Requests 1999 Foreign Aid Increase
And Full Funding for Israeli Military and Economic Aid
By Shirl McArthur
Apart from the occasional glance toward Iraq, most congressional
activity concerning the Middle East during this session of Congress
has been in connection with the budget and appropriations process.
To be sure, a few new bills were introduced, and some pro-Israel
letters were written, but, for the most part, the second session
of the 105th Congress has been notable so far for what it has not
done regarding the Middle East. There has been no further action
regarding the pending bills, reviewed in our March issue, that would
impose sanctions on countries supplying missile technology to Iran;
would cut off financial transactions against countries supporting
terrorism; and would impose sanctions on countries engaging
in religious persecution. Several other issues discussed in our
Congressional Preview in the March issue have been raised,
mostly in connection with the budget hearings, but they, too, have
made no legislative progress.
The Budget
On Feb. 2, President Clinton submitted his fiscal year 1999 budget
proposals to Congress. They include some $20 billion for foreign
affairs spending, about $1 billion more than was appropriated for
FY-98. Of this total, some $14 billionabout $800 million more
than in FY-98is for bilateral foreign aid and for contributions
to international institutions such as the Export-Import Bank. These
amounts do not include the $1 billion or so the administration is
asking for payment of arrears owed to the U.N. That money will be
requested as a separate supplemental appropriation. The requests
for the Middle East remain about the same as last year. For Israel:
$1.2 billion economic aid, $1.8 billion military aid, and $70 million
($10 million less than last year) for refugee resettlement.
For Egypt: $815 million economic aid and $1.3 billion military aid.
For Jordan: $150 million economic aid and $75 million military aid
(including $25 million in military supplies and services from the
Department of Defense). For the Palestinians: $100 million. As was
the case last year, the budget assumes that Israel and Egypt will
each contribute to the Middle East Peace and Stability Fund
that will be used to finance part of Jordans aid. Clinton
also requested funding for a Middle East Development Bank, which
Congress previously has refused to approve.
Aid to Israel to Decline? Israeli Finance Minister Yaacov
Neeman surprised many observers by suggesting that Congress phase
out the $1.2 billion economic aid to Israel over the next 10 to
12 years, while at the same time increasing military aid by $600
million. Neemans proposal came during meetings with House
Appropriations Committee Chairman Bob Livingston (R-LA) and foreign
operations subcommittee Chairman Sonny Callahan (R-AL) during a
visit to the U.S. the last week of January. Although this was not
reflected in the presidents budget submission, there has been
some talk in Congress of beginning the program this year by cutting
$200 million in economic aid, presumably with a parallel $100 million
increase in military aid.
Nobody is saying what prompted Neemans proposal at this time.
The Israeli Embassy and AIPAC both say that it is simply the fulfillment
of Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahus pledge in 1996 to reduce
and eventually to end Israels dependence on U.S. economic
aid. However, as we mentioned in the Congressional Preview
article in our March issue, Livingston and Callahan have grumbled
that the Middle East gets too large a share of U.S. aid. It is possible
that Netanyahu wanted to make this relatively inexpensive initiative
as a way to further shore up relations with Congress at a time when
his standing with the Clinton administration is relatively rocky.
Details of Neemans proposal have yet to be worked out, and
are not likely to be until the appropriations committees begin developing
their FY-99 appropriations bills, which will not happen until after
Congress returns from its Easter recess in late April. In the meantime,
there are no answers to such questions as: If economic assistance
to Israel is cut, will economic aid to Egypt be reduced proportionally?
(Most observers seem to believe the answer is yes.) Will Congress
re-impose the cap on total aid to the Middle East that it put in
last years appropriations bill? If so, will total aid to the
Middle East be reduced by the amount that aid to Israel and Egypt
is reduced? (Again, most people say yes.) Finally, if military aid
to Israel is increased by some amount, will that amount be added
to the $475 million currently authorized to be spent in Israel for
defense articles and defense services (in other words,
a direct U.S.-taxpayer subsidy of Israels defense industry)?
This question is still up in the air, but the answer may be no because
of the effect on U.S. jobs in an election year.
Jerusalem Embassy. During the budget hearings in both the Senate
and the House, Secretary of State Albright was asked about the administrations
intentions regarding the 1995 Jerusalem Embassy Act, which requires
that the U.S. Embassy in Israel should be established in Jerusalem
no later than May 31, 1999. In the House International Relations
Committee hearing, Rep. Brad Sherman (D-CA), one of Israels
more dependable congressmen, said that it is obvious that the State
Department is ignoring the law, and he asked how the department
plans to deal with the very real sanctions called for
by the law if the move to Jerusalem doesnt happen (the law
says that 50 percent of States acquisition and maintenance
appropriations shall be withheld until the move happens). In the
Senate Commerce, Justice, State appropriations subcommittee hearing,
Sen. Dan Inouye (D-HI) (one of Israels totally faithful senators),
backed up by subcommittee chairman Sen. Judd Gregg (R-NH), asked
Albright to explain why the presidents budget included no
funds for moving the embassy.
In response, Albright was civil, but she barely concealed her disgust
at congressional heavy-handedness represented by the Embassy Act.
She said that she would surely inform the Congress should
the president decide to establish an embassy in Jerusalem,
which must have irritated those congressmen who feel they are responsible
for conducting foreign relations. Albright sidestepped answering
the questions directly, saying that the issue of Jerusalem is a
final status issue, and the administration has decided to
keep our options open. Of course, Albright is fully aware
that the law includes a renewable six-month waiver provision giving
the administration a legal way to postpone implementing the Jerusalem
Embassy Act, but she obviously chose to not wave that particular
red flag at Sherman and Inouye.
Foreign Affairs Reform and Payment of U.N. Arrears. This subject
came up at each of Albrights budget hearings. As we said in
our Congressional Preview in the March issue, this measure
was hung up last year because House conservatives, led by Rep. Chris
Smith (R-NJ), insisted on language prohibiting U.S. funding for
family planning organizations that perform abortions or promote
liberalized abortion laws overseasthe so-called Mexico
City language. The impasse remains, and apparently both the
administration and the Republican congressional leadership have
stubbornly dug in their heels.
Both sides say either that the other side refuses to compromise
or has reneged on a previously agreed compromise. To each committee,
Albright repeated the administrations line that the abortion
issue is important and should be separated from foreign affairs
reform and payment of U.N. arrears. In each case the committee or
subcommittee chairman said that, whether or not she was right, it
just will not happen, so if the administration really wants this
legislation, it will have to bend on the abortion issue. Apparently
both sides have decided that domestic politics takes priority over
national interest in an election year. The White House does not
want to alienate its pro-abortion constituency, and the congressional
leadership does not want to alienate its anti-abortion constituency.
Iran. During Albrights budget hearing before Sen. Jesse Helmss
(R-NC) Senate Foreign Relations Committee, the subject of Iran was
raised in the context of the discussion about Iraq. Sen. Richard
Lugar (R-IN) noted that the dual containment policy
against Iraq and Iran obviously was not working, and he asked her
whether the administration was reviewing the policy, especially
regarding Iran.
Albright did not answer directly, but said that the election of
President Mohammed Khatami was obviously a positive development.
However, she said, the administration still is concerned about Irans
lack of support for the peace process, its support for terrorism,
and its efforts to acquire weapons of mass destruction.
That prompted Lugar to ask when the administration was going to
make up its mind about whether or not to apply sanctions on the
French oil company Total and the Russian company Gazprom for investing
in Irans South Pars gas field, in violation of the 1996 Iran-Libya
Sanctions Act (ILSA), sponsored by Sen. Alfonse DAmato (R-NY).
Albright said only that the matter is still under review. Obviously,
to enforce the ILSA against Total and Gazprom would damage relations
with Russia and the European Union at a time when the U.S. needs
all the support from the EU and Russia that it can get. The real
answer would be for DAmato to admit that ILSA was a mistake.
That wont happen.
Israel and the U.N. In questioning Albright about the Jerusalem
embassy issue (see above), Sherman also asked her why Congress should
support funding for the U.N., when the U.N. doesnt treat Israel
fairly. Albright turned the question around, and said
it is hard to get the U.N. to do anything the U.S. wants when the
U.S. wont pay its bills.
Subsequently, Sen. Daniel P. Moynihan (D-NY) and Rep. Steven Rothman
(D-NJ) introduced similar bills in the Senate and the House, respectively,
that urge the U.S. to take all necessary steps to end Israels
exclusion from any of the U.N.s regional blocs. Moynihans
bill had 43 co-sponsors, and Rothmans had 63 co-sponsors.
However, it is unlikely that either bill will be enacted. They were
created only to provide another election-year opportunity for certain
congressmen to reaffirm their pro-Israel credentials.
Extradite Palestinian Terrorists! Albrights budget hearing
before the House International Relations Committee was interrupted
by an outburst from Rep. Matt Salmon (R-AZ) who said that the U.S.
is repeating the mistakes it made in Iraq by supporting another
despotic regimethat of President Yasser Arafat. He said that
he is still waiting for an answer to the Jan. 20 letter he and Rep.
Jim Saxton (R-NJ) had written her, cosigned by four senators and
27 other representatives, demanding that the administration make
all efforts to guarantee that the Palestinian terrorists
accused of killing nine Americans in Israel since 1993 be transferred
to Israel or the U.S. for trial. Albright replied that every time
senior administration officials meet with Arafat they raise this
issue.
Shirl
McArthur, a retired foreign service officer, is a senior consultant
with Bruce Morgan Associates, an international research and consulting
firm in the Washington, DC area. |