Washington Report on Middle East Affairs, April 1998, Pages
18-20
Five Views
U.S. Public and Military Support for Bombing
Iraq Began Fading Immediately After Albright and Cohen Trips
By Lucille Barnes
U.S. public support for bombing Iraq began fading well before Kofi
Annans visit to Saddam Hussain got President Clinton off the
very long limb his Israelist advisers had urged him to mount. The
public turnaround began even as U.S. and British aircraft carriers
took up positions in the Persian Gulf early in February and while
the worlds only remaining superpower still seemed
hell-bent on becoming the worlds only remaining superbully.
Journalists began to catch on just after U.S. Secretary of State
Madeleine Albright returned from what she described as a successful
tour in which she was not asking for support but only
explaining to our allies what the U.S. was going to do.
While U.S. Secretary of Defense William Cohen was mak ing follow-up
visits to the same countries to talk about details, however, the
U.S. media began quietly asking exactly which U.S. allies would
be providing support. Well, Albright aides explained, there was
Britain and there was Portugal, which would allow U.S. aircraft
to use its mid-Atlantic island airfields to refuel en route to the
Gulf. And, of course, Kuwait.
It was only at the end of Cohens trip, during which Australia
and Canada added their voices to Britains, but no new allies
turned up in the Middle East, that the truth sank in both to the
public and to American leaders: If the U.S. and Britain went ahead
and bombed Iraq, essentially they would be all alone.
Therefore, questions about why in 1991 the U.S. had 35 military
allies in the Gulf War and in 1998 it stood virtually isolated began
creeping into whatever space the American media had left over from
its coverage of Monicagatethe Washington scandal
that preoccupied President Bill Clinton throughout this dangerous
period.
In a thoughtful article written from Baghdad, Christian Science
Monitor correspondent Scott Peterson reminded readers on Feb. 10
that even as the current crisis unfoldswith one American-led
team prevented from visiting sites the Iraqi government of President
Saddam Hussain deems sensitiveother teams work
unhindered.
Petersons Monitor article also cited both the all-American
makeup of the banned team, led by former U.S. Marine intelligence
officer Scott Ritter, and the shrillness of Australian UNS COM chief
Richard Butlers media offensive, which began whenstanding
before an Israeli flaghe told members of the Council of Presidents
of Major American Jewish Organizations that Iraq had enough biological
weapons materiel and missiles to blow away Tel Aviv.
After that, U.N. Secretary- General Kofi Annan had told Butler
to tone down his remarks, since such alarmist claims had not been
reflected in his reports to the U.N. Security Council. On the contrary,
UNSCOM in the past had reported considerable success, with President
Clinton having stated that it had done more to erase chemical, biological,
nuclear and ballistic missile capability from Iraqs arsenal
than the entire Gulf war air campaign.
Increasingly, therefore, thought ful analysts began asking why
the U.S. would, in effect, bring all such inspections to an end
in order to carry out a bombing program that no one, least of all
the U.S. generals in charge, believed would eradicate either Iraqi
President Saddam Hussains grip on power, or whatever weapons
programs or capabilities he still had left.
In fact, although U.N. dependents and non-essential employees
were evacuated from Iraq, throughout the crisis inspectors at U.N.
headquarters in Baghdad continued to monitor video surveillance
cameras operating 24 hours a day at some 300 sensitive sites in
Iraq. Chemical and radiation units at some of those locations also
continued to sample the air, and X-rays also were in use.
If there is a military strike, the first result will be that
the inspectors will be out of Iraq, a diplomat told Peterson.
As far as disarmament, we will lose our grip on Iraq. UNSCOM
is the only instrument to bring Iraq to eliminate its weapons of
mass destruction.
Another note of rationality was injected into the media debate
on Feb. 10 by Rep. Cynthia McKinney, a Democratic African-American
congresswoman from Georgia, on the televised NewsHour
with Jim Lehrer. She quoted Israeli military analyst Meir Stieglitz,
who wrote in Israels largest daily, Yediot Ahro not, that
there is no such thing as a long-range Iraqi missile with
an effective biological warhead. No one has found an Iraqi biological
warhead. The chances of Iraq having succeeded in developing operative
warheads without tests are zero.
Representative McKinney also pointed out that: In 1992 UNSCOM
determined Iraq had no engines and no launchers. In fact,
the congresswoman pointed out, this crisis has come about
as a result of two issues really: access of the inspection team
and the composition of the inspection team. I think that the international
community would also stand behind unfettered access of the inspection
team. But on this question of the composition of the inspection
team, is that worth going to war over? I dont think so. Kofi
Annan has suggested that the United Nations could be flexible in
this area, and I think the United States needs to be flexible as
well.
At first such voices of rationality seemed almost drowned out by
the drumbeat for war. Yet the hawks were not all singing
in the same key. Initial statements of support by Britains
foreign secretary were conditioned upon passage of another U.N.
Security Council resolutionsomething that seemed extremely
unlikely given the opposition of Russia, China and France, all of
whom have veto power, to the precipitate use of force. Even in the
U.S. Congress, where the Republicans initially seemed to be outbidding
the Democrats in their eagerness for military action, things were
not as simple as they seemed.
Republicans, then as now, were calling for action aimed at removing
Saddam Hussain from power, not for more pinprick air and missile
strikes. But military officials cautioned that the U.S. is
not in a position to undertake such action, given the deep cuts
in U.S. military forces overall, the lack of U.S. allies, and the
almost complete denial of the bases in the area which had been available
to the coalition forces that carried out operation Desert Storm
to eject the Iraqi occupation forces from Kuwait. So the Republican
support seemed to be political posturingmore illusory than
real.
In fact it was retired U.S. military officers such as Gen. Norman
Swartzkopf, who opposed the bombing, and other informed callers
into radio and television talk shows who injected welcome notes
of realism and perspective. They pointed out that it was true that
the agreement imposed on Saddam at the end of the Gulf war did not
allow him to dictate the composition of the U.N. arms inspection
teams. But neither did the agreement say anything about the U.S.
alone dictating the composition of those teams.
And, callers pointed out, it is the Iraqis, not Americans, who
are suffering so horribly from the embargo until the inspectors
can certify that Saddams forces no longer have weapons of
mass destruction. So why was it the U.S. that was in such a hurry
to finish the job?
Now that the crisis has been averted, or postponed, there is much
that the U.S. should do. This includes increasing the food and medicines
available to Iraqis, diversifying the composition of the inspection
teams, and taking steps to enforce all U.N. Security Council resolutionsincluding
the many outstanding resolutions against Israel and not just those
against Iraq. All of this will be necessary before the U.S. can
expect to find Middle Eastern allies in any future confrontation
with Saddam Hussain.
Meanwhile, Americans might consider where the pressure in January
and February for immediate air and missile strikes against Iraq
came from. Within the government it came from the Israelists making
U.S. Middle East policy in the State Department and some of their
allies in the White House. In the media it came largely from such
tried-and-true U.S. media friends of Israel as columnists A.M. Ros
enthal of The New York Times and Charles Krauthammer of The Washington
Post, and from guest columns in U.S. newspapers by foreign
experts who, upon examination, turned out to be Israelis.
Their clear objective was to see U.S. bombs and missiles once again
crashing down on Iraq and driving a wedge between the United States
and all of the Islamic countries of the world. If these friends
of Israel had succeeded, they would have conferred upon Israel the
title of worlds only remaining superpower, since,
for a time at least, it almost had the power to turn the United
States into the worlds only remaining superchump. |