Washington Report on Middle East Affairs, April 1998, Pages
15, 41
Special Report
Congressional Debate on Iraq More Thoughtful After
Testimony of Non-Governmental Witnesses
By Shirl McArthur
As the Clinton administration was blindly reeling toward military
action against Iraq in late January and early February, Congress
all but abdicated its responsibility to act as a check on reckless
executive branch behavior. As a Washington Post editor
wrote on Feb. 22, "There was more soaring oratory in the House
of Commons last week than has been heard in the chambers of Congress."
He went on to point out that the 1973 War Powers Resolution, which
sets up several steps that a president must follow before committing
troops to combat, is still in force. Yet President Bill Clinton
appeared to be fully set to "commit troops to combat"
without any indication of congressional approval.
The administration steadfastly proclaimed that, although "we
would welcome congressional support" before taking military
action, such support was not necessary. Clinton's justification
for this position was that he already had sufficient congressional
authority for military action, derived from the Persian Gulf war
resolution passed in 1991.
Prospects for a congressional debate were complicated by the Jan.
28 introduction—without it being requested by the administration—by
Senate Majority and Minority Leaders Trent Lott (R-MS) and Tom Daschle
(D-SD), of a concurrent resolution that would, in effect, give the
White House a blank check to "take all necessary and appropriate
actions to respond to the threat posed by Iraq's refusal to end
its weapons of mass destruction programs." However, this resolution
set off enough alarm bells among congressmen who recalled the similar
Gulf of Tonkin resolution in 1964 that Lott and Daschle agreed to
postpone voting on their resolution "to make sure that we have
had all the questions asked and answered."
Leadership Vacuum
At this point one reasonably could have expected to see some concerted
action by the congressional leadership to make sure that those questions
were asked by Congress and answered by the administration before
Congress adjourned on Feb. 14 for its "Presidents' Day"
recess. It didn't happen.
The administration did send Defense Secretary William Cohen, Secretary
of State Madeleine Albright, National Security Adviser Sandy Berger,
and others to Capitol Hill to "brief" selected senators
and representatives during the first two weeks of February. There
were no calls, however, for a public and searching cross-examination
regarding the administration's Iraq policy by the four House and
Senate committees primarily responsible for national security and
foreign affairs.
Albright was not called to task for her lack of candor.
The only partial exception to this was the appearance by Albright
before Sen. Jesse Helms's (R-NC) Senate Foreign Relations Committee
and Rep. Benjamin Gilman's (R-NY) House International Relations
Committee at previously scheduled hearings on Feb. 10 and 12 regarding
the administration's FY-99 foreign policy budget request.
Although the two hearings necessarily covered a wide range of
topics, Helms, Gilman, and other committee members did ask Albright
some hard questions about Iraq, such as: What would it take to topple
Saddam? If Saddam were to fall, what or who would likely replace
him? What would be Iran's reaction? What other alternatives are
there? Why haven't the Gulf Arab states supported the U.S. as they
did during "Desert Storm"? And, what would be the goals
and objectives of a military strike?
Albright was not forthcoming in her answers, but neither was she
called to task for her lack of candor by the members of the committee.
She repeated the smokescreen that the administration saw only three
choices in confronting Saddam: do nothing; commit 500,000 ground
troops as during "Desert Storm;" or take military measures
to "diminish Saddam's capability to re-establish his weapons
of mass destruction and threaten his neighbors."
She said it was not necessarily the administration's goal to topple
Saddam. Regarding other Arab support, she insisted that there was
more support among Arab governments for U.S. action against Saddam
than was publicly apparent. She did not directly answer the other
questions posed by the committee.
Albright also was asked whether Arab reluctance to support U.S.
action was connected to lack of progress in the peace process. With
a straight face she said that some people may think so but, "I
prefer not to make that linkage." When asked what would be
the future of the peace process if the U.S. were to strike Iraq,
she did not answer, saying instead that "it is imperative for
both the Israelis and the Palestinians to make some difficult decisions
so that the peace process can proceed."
Incredibly, nothing further was heard prior to the congressional
recess from Helms, the occupant of the chair once held by the likes
of Arthur Vandenberg and William Fulbright; nor from Gilman; nor
from Senate Near East and South Asia Subcommittee Chairman Sam Brownback
(R-KS), although Brownback did issue a Feb. 13 press release urging
the administration to "slow down" before embarking on
a venture that was likely to result in devastating consequences
to the U.S.
Voices in the Wilderness
It was left to two junior Republican senators from the Midwest,
Chuck Hagel of Nebraska and Pat Roberts of Kansas, to provide the
only significant floor discussion of the impending military action
prior to the recess. On Feb. 9, Hagel raised several questions on
the Senate floor and said that the administration seemed "to
ricochet from crisis to crisis and call that foreign policy."
The following day, Roberts commended Hagel for his remarks and
went on to raise several additional questions that he said should
be answered before Congress approves any resolution supporting military
action. He said that the proposed strike could be "flawed and
counterproductive…At the end of the day, when all is said
and done, with civilian and military casualties, Saddam will still
be in power, his scientists will still be at work, his military
and the Republican Guard still deployed, some of his weapons of
mass destruction and their delivery means will still be intact.
It strains credibility that there will be any chance of inspections…In
the meantime, we will have a continued erosion of faith and confidence
with our allies, anti-American sentiment throughout the Muslim world,
and the horrors of war on international television courtesy of Saddam
Hussain."
Apparently Hagel's and Roberts' words had some effect. Their speeches
were widely quoted in the press, and Congress did recess without
taking up the Lott-Daschle resolution of support.
The only other congressional voice to be heard prior to U.N. Secretary-General
Kofi Annan's return from Baghdad with Sad dam's agreement to allow
U.N. inspections under a revised formula was that of Rep. Lee Hamilton
(D-IN), ranking Democrat on the House International Relations Committee,
who wrote a long op-ed piece for The Washington Post.
It appeared the same day that Annan announced his agreement. Hamilton
argued forcefully for better articulation of a long-term strategy
toward Iraq, and for a full congressional debate and vote before
any military action occurs.
The Beginnings of Debate
During the recess, of course, the administration's Albright-Cohen-Berger
team suffered their public relations disasters at Ohio State University
and other so-called "town meetings," and Annan negotiated
the agreement with Saddam. With the lessening of the crisis, several
congressmen and women suddenly felt brave enough to comment on the
Iraq situation.
Among the first to do so were Helms and Lott, who were eager to
attack the Annan agreement. Helms compared it with Neville Chamberlain's
capitulation to Hitler at Munich in 1938. Lott said that the U.S.
"cannot afford peace at any price," and said that Annan
had harmed the U.N.'s credibility by agreeing to "a special
deal with the most flagrant violator of United Nations resolutions,
probably in history. Instead of standing on principle, he sat with
the unprincipled—and gave him what he wanted."
In contrast, Daschle, Sen. Paul Wellstone (D-MN), and Rep. Tom
Lantos (D-CA) praised the agreement and Annan. Lantos went so far
as to urge his colleagues to join him in nominating Annan for the
Nobel Peace Prize.
Less newsworthy, though perhaps more important, were the comments
of Rep. David Skaggs (D-CO), who questioned the administration's
argument that the 1991 Persian Gulf war resolution authorized military
action in 1998. Skaggs also released a Congressional Research Service
memorandum that he had requested. Skaggs said it supported the argument
that the 105th Congress cannot rely on something done by the 102nd
Congress, and must thoroughly debate the issue before military action
is taken.
By early March, a dozen or so additional congressional voices were
raised on the floor of the House or the Senate. Most of them urged
the administration and their congressional colleagues to use the
time afforded by the Annan agreement to develop a clear and credible
policy toward Iraq. Notable among this group were the comments of
Sens. Rod Grams (R-MN), Kay Bailey Hutchison (R-TX), Bob Kerry (D-NE),
Jon Kyl (R-AZ), and Patrick Leahy (D-VT). There also were Clinton
stalwarts, including Sens. Joseph Biden (D-DE) and Daschle, and
Reps. Eliot Engel (D-NY) and Sheila Jackson Lee (D-TX), who praised
the Annan agreement and urged Congress to give it a chance to succeed.
Finally, Reps. Roscoe Bartlett (R-MD), John Duncan (R-TN), and
Ron Paul (R-TX) spoke of the folly of foreign intervention, and
questioned whether the U.S. has the right to impose its will in
the absence of a clear threat. Paul and Bartlett promoted the bills
they had introduced which would, with variations, prohibit the use
of funds for military action against Iraq unless specifically authorized
by law. Paul also was the only one to question Israeli Prime Minister
Netanyahu's comments implicitly urging the U.S. to take military
action against Iraq, pointing out that it would be American lives
that would be at risk. Paul also pointed out the simple truth that
for the U.S. to attack Saddam militarily would not necessarily be
in Israel's best interest, because of the law of unforeseen consequences.
Two Hearings
Finally, after the Annan agreement, Gilman in the House and Brownback
in the Senate held hearings. Gilman's Feb. 25 hearing, titled "U.S.
Options in Confronting Iraq," included: Dr. Paul Wolfowitz,
dean of Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International
Studies (SAIS); Dr. Eliot Cohen, a SAIS professor; Dr. Richard Haas,
director of foreign policy studies at the Brookings Institute; and
Mr. David Kay, the chief U.N. weapons inspector during 1991 and
1992. Brownback's March 2 hearing, titled "Can Saddam be Overthrown?"
included: Mr. Ahmad Chalabi, president of the Iraqi National Congress
(INC); former CIA Director James Woolsey; Dr. Zalmay Khalilzad,
director of the strategy and doctrine program at the Rand Corporation;
and Haas again. Although the argument can easily be made that it
was a good idea to get the opinions of experts before confronting
administration witnesses (especially given the congressional level
of ignorance concerning the Middle East), several journalists and
observers at the hearings commented privately that they thought
it strange that no government witnesses had been called. In fact,
the only public congressional questioning of administration officials
regarding Iraq has taken place in the context of previously scheduled
appropriations hearings.
At the Gilman hearing, which was well attended by other committee
members, the most outspoken witness was Kay, who repeated his claim
in several press articles and interviews that the Annan agreement
is seriously flawed and will not accomplish the objective of removing
Saddam's weapons of mass destruction. However, he said, the one
thing it accomplished was to stop the administration from taking
the action it was contemplating. "It would have been a disaster!
In fact, Iraq policy has been on vacation for the past six months
in this town."
Both Wolfowitz and Haas urged that direct, unilateral military
action not be taken, but their prescriptions differed. Haas urged
an enhanced policy of containment, one that would involve regenerating
Arab support, using sanctions more intelligently to assure that
more help gets to the Iraqi people, rebuilding relations with Iran,
and adopting a more energetic policy toward Middle East peace—accepting
that the linkage is a fact of life.
Finally, Haas said that, if military force is ultimately necessary,
it should "be large and sustained," and that Saddam should
be clearly informed of this. Wolfowitz said that the goal should
be to help the Iraqi people liberate themselves. He said that the
U.S. government should recognize and assist in all practicable ways
a provisional "free Iraq" government; should appropriate
money to that end; and should press for an indictment of Saddam
as a war criminal.
At Brownback's hearing in the Senate (the only other committee
member attending was ranking minority member Charles Robb of Virginia),
Haas essentially repeated the testimony he gave before the House,
and both Woolsey and Khalilzad basically supported the Wolfowitz
proposition that the U.S. should adopt a long-term strategy to support
and help the Iraqi people to liberate themselves. (Wolfowitz's House
testimony was supported and entered into the Congressional Record
by Senator Kyl during his speech on the Senate floor.)
Chalabi's testimony was by far the most interesting—and the
most controversial. He was very persuasive in arguing that the reason
the Iraqi opposition has been in such disarray is that the U.S.
government has not kept its implied and explicit commitments.
Chalabi maintained that if the U.S. were to give a strong indication
of support, including military support in the form of arms and air
cover, the Iraqi people and most Iraqi military units would rally
behind the INC.
Woolsey, while essentially agreeing with Chalabi, said that developing
a viable opposition government would not be nearly as easy nor as
quick as Chalabi indicated.
Haas emphasized that the Iraqi opposition groups are both weak
and divided, and he agreed with Woolsey that to build a strong,
united opposition would take years.
What Next?
Chalabi, like Wolfowitz, also urged that Saddam be indicted as
a war criminal, and this cause has already been taken up by congressional
Republicans. Sen. Arlen Specter (R-PA) introduced a concurrent resolution
saying that the president should call for the establishment of a
U.N. commission to establish Saddam's "criminal culpability,"
and should also call for the U.N. to form an international tribunal
to indict, prosecute, and imprison Saddam "and other Iraqi
officials." This resolution has already been placed on the
Senate calendar, and it is likely that it will have been passed
by the time this issue of the Washington Report reaches readers.
Another measure that has broad support and is fairly simple is
the establishment of a "Radio Free Iraq," which several
witnesses supported. This, too, will probably happen, but there
are questions about funding and other details, so it may have to
wait for the completion of this year's appropriations process.
Most of the military and financial measures called for by witnesses
require action by the executive branch of government, with the support
of Congress. Logically, the next step would be for the relevant
congressional committees to ask administration officials to appear
before the committees to give their views on these measures, and
their opinion of Chalabi's INC, but logic does not always dominate
this Congress.
Shirl
McArthur, a retired foreign service officer, is a senior consultant
with Bruce Morgan Associates, an international research and consulting
firm in the Washington, DC area. |