April/May 1995, Pages 26, 106-107
Affairs of State
A Diplomat's Undiplomatic Thoughts on Martin Indyk
Appointment
By Eugene Bird
A long-time professional American diplomat commented as follows
on the appointment of Martin Indyk as U.S. ambassador to Israel:
"The problem is not with his intelligence, nor even with the
fact that he has been totally identified with one side in a very
divisive situation, a civil war really, in which America has taken
sides but does not wish to admit it. In spite of his work with the
Israel lobby and his statements to a reporter not long ago that
he had, since the earliest age, been dedicated to Israel and helping
her make a lasting peace, he might have worked out well as the Australian
ambassador to Israel. And he may turn his background to real advantage.
His real problem as American ambassador to Israel is that he has
no roots in this country.
"Without those roots, his reactions are going to be easily
questioned, and they will be. He cannot just be the guardian of
Israeli interests as he has been before. Now he must act daily in
a way that promotes American interests, even if they clash, as they
will, with Israeli interests.
"That is what being an ambassador is all about and Jesse Helms
should have questioned him closely on this matter of not having
American roots. He should not have been appointed without going
on the record regarding his American experience. Instead, Helms
simply said that his appointment was 'not controversial' and disposed
of it in five minutes."
Jesse Helms Makes His Move
Senator Jesse Helms is proposing the most sweeping reorganization
of foreign affairs organizations since the first year of the Eisenhower
administration. Ironically, it would undo the reforms of that previous
"Republican revolution," when foreign aid, information,
and other functions that had been imposed upon the Department of
State after World War II were set up as affiliated but independent
agencies. Ostensibly a cost-cutting measure, a major motivation
seems to be to enable Senator Helms to tell his constituents he
abolished AID, while quietly concealing the one-half of its foreign
aid budget that goes to Israel and Egypt within the Pentagon and
State Department budgets.
With House International Affairs Chairman Ben Gilman standing by
his side in nominal support, even though Gilman has publicly opposed
merging all key agencies into one super State Department, Senator
Helms indicated his proposal is deadly serious and will have exhaustive
hearings. The actual legislation remains to be introduced, but a
30-page question-and-answer document has been distributed.
Israel, Egypt and Turkey's aid, according to briefings, would come
under a new undersecretary of state for international security affairs.
Regular economic aid to the rest of the world would be channeled
through geographic desk officers in the Department of State and
through a new international development foundation, aimed at distributing
aid through existing or new non-governmental organizations such
as CARE, ANERA, AMIDEAST and Catholic Relief Services, the leading
such organizations in the Middle East.
The complex proposal to reinflate the Department of State by placing
almost all economic, commercial and information personnel directly
under the secretary of state would tax the ability of any executive.
But it certainly would redound to the benefit of Israel, providing
both bureaucratic cover and one-stop shopping for money to fund
the ever-growing web of U.S.-Israeli economic and technological
ties being woven by the Clinton administration with the seemingly
enthusiastic support of Congress.
"The State Department for the 21st century," as Helms
calls his initiative, includes a provision for a high-level "American
Desk" to act as an "ombudsman" or liaison point with
public interest groups in support of business and export promotion.
The Overseas Private Investment Corporation and the Export-Import
Bank, the latter always an orphan of congressional foreign policy
making, together with the Trade and Development Agency, are proposed
to be "integrated with State" but not under State. Personnel
for the Voice of America, the U.S. Information Agency and Radio
Marti are to be integrated into a single foreign affairs personnel
system.
Helms projects savings of "more than $6 billion" over
five years, although the announcement provided absolutely no details
of how this would be accomplished. Administration sources are universally
opposed to the move, but it seems likely that, if both Senate Leader
Bob Dole (R-KS) and House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-GA) seriously
support the Helms initiative, substantial parts of the proposal
will be enacted.
Egypt-Israel Impasse Threatens Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty
The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) conference opens in
New York April 17 and will immediately face problems of protocol
and voting procedures. The American proposal for an indefinite extension
of the treaty, providing the principal underpinning to the International
Atomic Energy Agency's right to inspect and prevent the spread of
nuclear arms technology, needs 88 votes from current members. The
U.S. was 12 votes shy when the Washington Report went to
press. Many of those missing votes are tied to Egypt's refusal to
go along with extending the treaty unless Israel makes some gesture
to join and rid the Middle East of the immediate nuclear threat.
The meeting could break up into an acrimonious debate between the
Third World and the West (North). A centerpiece of that debate will
be the failure of the United States to urge Israel to follow the
example of South Africa in 1994 by ending its obvious nuclear capability.
Israel Definitely a Nuclear Power But Still Claims
Not to Be
Recent documents released by the State Department make clear that
the U.S. had solid evidence 30 years ago that Israel was pursuing
a crash nuclear program. Most sources now agree that Israel has
between 200 and 400 nuclear weapons. The other "threshold"
nuclear powers, Pakistan and India, are credited by the same sources
with having 9 and somewhere between 50 and 60, respectively.
Egypt is reported to be seeking a concession in the form of an
Israeli statement of intention to join, in exchange for the Arab
states rejoining the NPT. But both sides are hanging tough and there
is no assurance that Secretary of State Warren Christopher and President
Bill Clinton can persuade Egypt to rejoin without some concession
from Israel.
Strangely, no one expects the April conference to lead to failure
of either Iran or Iraq to sign some version of the treaty. Iran
has every reason to continue to claim it is not building atomic
weapons, even though U.S. intelligence claims that country is quite
likely only a few years away from possible testing. (Israel claims
this is the reason for its retention of nuclear weapons, while not
admitting it has any at all.)
Similarly, Iraq is expected to sign the treaty again. Its action
will have little practical effect since Iraq already is fully exposed
to U.N. and IAEA intrusive inspections.
The administration refuses to acknowledge that Israeli bombs may
be an obstacle to securing an indefinite extension by 88 member
states, since a total of 175 states presently are signatories to
the NPT.
"Citizens of the world know," said Ambassador John Holum,
"that [with the treaty in place] their neighbors will not acquire
nuclear materials." He did not allude to the fact that Egypt
is already aware that its main antagonist these past 40 years does
have nuclear materials and continues to build warheads and missiles
to carry them.
Pressures on Egypt Very Heavy
Pressures on Egypt to stop confronting Israel and the U.S. on the
issue of Israeli accession to the treaty are growing on Capitol
Hill. The administration will continue frequent contacts with Egypt
right up to the opening day. The U.S. rationale for lack of American
pressure on Israel to sign remains that the U.S. expects Israel
to sign after a comprehensive peace is reached not just with her
immediate neighbors but also including Iran and Iraq.
Egypt and Third World countries say that ignores the problem of
regional proliferation and is hypocritical in the extreme. Although
other nuclear powers have remained silent on the issue of Israeli
proliferation, media in other Western countries have suggested that
Israel should at least close her aging Dimona reactor and begin
the process of coming into accord with international needs and practices.
The U.S. is destroying 2,000 nuclear weapons a year, matching Russian
efforts to cut the total to some indeterminate level of a few thousand
on each side by the early part of the next century. Success of efforts
at downsizing by the major powers and preventing proliferation by
the rest of the world depends on a troika of agreements: The NPT,
the Test-Ban, and the Fissionable Materials export agreements. Israel
would be in violation of the NPT but, so far as is known, its only
test of atomic weaponry was conducted over the South Atlantic in
collusion with South Africa many years ago. Ambassador Holum claims
that the U.S. does not share any pertinent technology with Israel
or other "threshold" states such as India and Pakistan.
However, the use of new high-capacity computers from the United
States by Israel is expected to lead to better missile technologies.
It is impossible to separate nuclear weapons from delivery vehicle
development
Most of the early Israeli nuclear technology came from France.
By 1970 that was largely ended, but Israel sent out techno-spies
to search out plutonium sources and weaponry technologies. A great
deal of both came from the United States. Some was stolen. The rest
was acquired by incremental bits and pieces from cooperative companies
and from Israel's strategic relationship with the United States.
The technology continues to flow, according to sources close to
the Pentagon.
Clinton administration officials are holding a frenzy of briefings
for both the press and the NPT member countries, hoping to gain
the votes needed to carry out its indefinite extension. The administration's
work would be infinitely easier if America's client state in the
Middle EastIsraelwould agree to start the process of
de-nuclearizing and, by so doing, help revive the unraveling Middle
East peace process.
Clinton Anti-Terrorism Bill Smacks of Israeli Occupation
Law
British Mandatory regulations from the 1940s, aimed originally
at controlling Jewish terrorists in Palestine, have been used for
almost 50 years by the Israeli government against the Palestinians,
complete with secret trials and administrative detention and deportations.
Now, these same regulations, in slightly different form, may have
reached the shores of the United States. If the administration of
President Bill Clinton and a band of pro-Israel congressmen have
their way, a truly ominous Omnibus Bill on Counter-Terrorism will
be rushed through to use special financial and investigative pressures
to stop "terrorism," as defined by the legislation's sponsors.
The massive 110-page bill would, according to an analysis by the
American Civil Liberties Union, permit the president to simply declare
almost any organization "terrorist." On that basis the
government could order deportations of aliens without their right
to see the evidence, and could fine American citizens up to $50,000
and imprison them for up to five years for giving any assets, even
in kind, to a designated "terrorist" group.
While the legislation wends its way through Congress, the Feb.
10 executive order is being implemented and assets are being seized.
The first seizure was a minuscule $200 bank account in New York
in the name of Kahane Chai, a Jewish extremist organization associated
with Dr. Baruch Goldstein and the Hebron massacre of February 1994.
However, Kahane people still are operating at least three other
American-incorporated groups.
Using the RICO (Anti-Racketeering) law and expanding its provisions
to permit search and seizure without warrant, new identical bills
proposed by the president are on the fast track in the Senate (S
390) and the House (HR 896). The Omnibus bill is extremely complex
but seemingly designed to scare off the ordinary American contributor
to any charitable institution working in the Middle East. Just the
submission of it, according to Muslim-American groups, has frightened
off past contributors to West Bank and Gaza institutions.
ACLU Preliminary Analysis of Law: Violates Constitution
In his preliminary analysis of the proposed legislation, lawyer
Gregory Nojeim, formerly with the American-Arab Anti-Discrimination
Committee (ADC), and now with the ACLU, has pointed out numerous
unconstitutional provisions. They include due process clause violations,
First Amendment activity used as justification for declaring an
alien deportable without any right of appeal, guilt by association,
and legal harassment of American citizens by granting unfettered
authority without recourse to courts.
The bill in its present form results from a year-long effort by
pro-Israel forces within the administration. Although the inter-agency
group, described in the March 1995 issue of the Washington Report,
was set up ostensibly to deal with Jewish terrorists involved in
the Hebron massacre, the resulting legislation will cast a wide
net against legitimate Muslim organizations and aliens as well as
against American citizens making tax-exempt contributions to organizations
providing relief and services in the Middle East, including those
in south Lebanon's refugee camps.
Major Arab-American groups already have begun meetings with the
administration to protest the sweeping anti-terror bill and its
obvious impact on the economy of the Palestinians, so dependent
on money from abroad.
Middle East specialists predict that the bill, as written, will
do little to curb acts of terror either in the United States or
in the Middle East. One expert in the Congressional Research Service
estimates that no more than $4 million a year is needed to fund
all types of terrorist activities by both Lebanese and Palestinian
Islamic extremist organizations. Such sums are readily available
from extremist organizations such as those often associated with
Iran.
The specialists point out that the World Trade Center bombing,
if it was not carried out by Iranian-funded individuals, very likely
was planned in Baghdad as retribution for the Gulf war. Opponents
of the Omnibus bill say it will scare off genuine efforts to better
the situation of the Palestinians, and do little or nothing against
Jewish terrorist groups who continue to function unimpeded in the
West Bank settlements, where Kahane Chai and Kach members are both
well-organized and well-armed.
Eugene Bird is president of the Council for the National Interest
and diplomatic correspondent for the Washington Report. |