April/May 1995, Pages 7, 96, 97
What's Next for the Middle East?5 Views
A Jewish-American Peace Activist
A Cowardly U.S. Congress Is Destroying Chances for
Mideast Peace
By Rachelle Marshall
If the Middle East peace negotiations that began with such promise
four years ago in Madrid should end up as another lost opportunity,
it could be the U.S. Congress that delivers the final blow. Others,
of course, have helped undermine the process.
Palestinian suicide bombers driven by rage and hopelessness have
reinforced Israeli paranoia and given the Israeli government an
excuse to renege on its pledges. Israeli settlers who shout "Death
to Arabs!" as they rampage through Palestinian neighborhoods
smashing windows and firing automatic rifles deepen Palestinian
doubts that peaceful coexistence with Israel is possible. Palestinian
National Authority President Yasser Arafat's failure to recognize
grassroots leaders and include them in the decision-making process
has weakened support for his leadership among Palestinians in the
West Bank and Gaza.
President Bill Clinton's pretense that Israel and the PLO meet
at the bargaining table as equals, and therefore U.S. intervention
on behalf of the Palestinians would be unseemly, has discouraged
Palestinian hopes that Washington will help bring about a just peace
settlement. (The U.S. aid that pours into Israel at the rate of
nearly $6 billion a year, including funds for a new ballistic missile,
is of course not "intervention" but "a contribution
to the peace process.") And finally, Israeli Prime Minister
Yitzhak Rabin's arrogant repudiation of the agreements he signed
with the PLO; his refusal to dismantle Jewish settlements; his iron-fisted
resort to border closings, mass arrests, death squad killings, and
the replacement of Palestinian workers with thousands of foreigners,
have convinced many Palestinians that the Oslo agreement was a bad
joke.
Now Congress seems bent on bringing to a halt the few small steps
that are being taken toward peaceeven if this means running
counter to Israeli government policy. Congressional willingness
to follow the dictates of the American Israel Public Affairs Committee
(AIPAC) has long been a factor in determining U.S. actions in the
Middle East. As Israel's chief lobby in the U.S., AIPAC dutifully
responded to the Labor Party's election victory in 1992 by abandoning
its former support for Likud's hard-line and instead defending Labor's
effort to defuse hostilities with Israel's Arab neighbors and patch
together an agreement, however one-sided, with the PLO. Congress,
however, has been reluctant to show the same flexibility. The same
legislators who in the past responded with knee-jerk obedience to
whatever Israeli government was in power now are willing to defy
the wishes of the current Labor government, perhaps with an eye
on Israeli polls that predict an almost certain victory for the
Likud Party in 1996. Likud's likely candidate for president, Benyamin
Netanyahu, has promised to undo any agreements Rabin reaches that
involve withdrawal of Israeli troops from the West Bank and the
Golan Heights or the dismantling of Israeli settlements.
Rabin's only chance of survival lies in his ability between now
and the coming election to reduce the level of violence against
Israelis and to reach agreements with the Palestinians and Syria
that satisfy Israel's security concerns. To achieve these objectives,
Rabin favors U.S. aid to the Palestinian National Authorityif
only to help lessen the economic disaster his border closings have
brought on the Palestinians and prevent a renewal of the intifada.
He also wants the U.S. to follow through with the $250 million in
aid that the Clinton administration promised Jordan's King Hussein
in return for signing a peace treaty with Israel. Rabin hopes fulfillment
of the U.S. promise to Hussein will help convince Syrian President
Hafez Al-Assad that Syria could receive similar benefits by making
peace with Israel.
The Israeli prime minister's strategy is to use the prospect of
financial aid and warmer relations between Damascus and Washington
to induce Assad to soften his demand for Israel's full withdrawal
from the Golan Heights, a condition Assad has insisted on ever since
Israel seized the territory in a surprise attack in 1967. Although
the press makes frequent references to Israel's offer to withdraw
from the Golan in exchange for peace, in fact Israel never has made
such an offer.
On Sept. 8, 1994, Rabin told the Israeli cabinet that Israel was
willing to undertake only a "very slight" withdrawal,
to be phased in over a three-to-four-year period. After that, his
government would wait to see how far Syria went in normalizing relations
with Israel before deciding on a further withdrawal. Assad in turn
is offering peace with Israel if its troops leave the Golan entirely
in two years and Jewish settlements in the area are removed.
Israel not only has rejected Assad's terms but is demanding that
in exchange for its own minimal pullback, Syria completely dismantle
its defenses in the area of the Golan, and, even more important,
terminate all ties with Iran. Even then, Rabin promised the Knesset
last October, "any significant withdrawal" by Israel would
first have to be approved in a popular referendum.
The need for a peace treaty between Israel and Syria, and the requirement
that Syria break its ties with Iran, are essential components of
joint U.S.-Israel policy in the region, according to a report on
Israeli-Syrian relations published in February by the Foundation
for Middle East Peace. The report cites a statement by National
Security Adviser Anthony Lake in May 1994 that calls for isolating
Israel's potential enemiesIran, Iraq and Libyaby inducing
the other Arab states to form alliances with Israel.
Syria would be the linchpin of the new alignment of forces in
the Middle East, and therefore a peace treaty between Syria and
Israel is a top priority in both Washington and Israel. The need
for such a treaty became even more urgent in early March when relations
between Egypt and Israel became strained over the issue of nuclear
weapons. Despite U.S. urging, Egypt has refused to sign an extension
of the nuclear non-proliferation treaty unless Israel signs it as
well. Israel, which has at least 200 nuclear weapons, was unwilling
to sign the original treaty and the U.S. has not pressured it to
do so now, a fact that is causing increasing resentment among Arab
leaders.
Another obstacle to Lake's plan of lining up moderate Arab states
on the side of Israel is the Rabin government's refusal to implement
the Oslo agreement. Although their relations with Israel thawed
somewhat following the signing of that agreement, Saudi Arabia and
the Gulf states again are distancing themselves from Israel now
that the agreement is producing no positive results. In February
an anonymous Saudi official told Youssef Ibrahim of The New York
Times that members of the Gulf Cooperation Council agreed that
"any talk of regional cooperation with Israel is premature
until Israeli troops leave Arab lands in the West Bank, Gaza, Syria
and Lebanon."
Congressional budget-cutting is making chances of an agreement
between Israel and Syria even more remote. To the dismay of Clinton
and Rabin, a House appropriations subcommittee voted in late February
to cut the White House request for $275 million for Jordan to $50
million. The reduced figure would not be enough to retire Jordan's
debt to the U.S., which Clinton promised Hussein he would do. The
committee's action also was bad news for those hoping for a more
compliant Assad. King Hussein is popular in America; Assad is anything
but. He is widely demonized as the head of a state that still is
officially listed by the State Department as supporting terrorists.
If Congress is willing to short-change Hussein, and perhaps even
cut aid to Egypt, it is unlikely to show any generosity to Syria.
Consequently, the Clinton administration is in no position to offer
the Syrian president a big enough carrot to make concessions on
his part worthwhile.
In any case, Congress may end hopes of even a partial Israeli withdrawal
from the Golan. Members of Israel's hard-line opposition, aided
by extremist Jewish groups in the U.S., have begun pressuring senators
and representatives to oppose stationing
a U.S. peacekeeping force on the Golan between Israel and Syria
to oversee an agreement. William Safire, in a column of Nov. 24,
1994, gave a revealing explanation of why he and such senators as
Daniel Patrick Moynihan (D-NY), Al D'Amato (R-NY) and Robert Packwood
(R-OR) oppose sending American soldiers to the Golan: "The
U.S.," he warned, "would then become 'neutral' in the
struggles between Syria and Israel in lieu of continuing as Israel's
ally...Israel's freedom of action would be compromised, with no
preemptive action possible without U.S. permission." In other
words, with U.S. soldiers on the scene it would be harder for Israel
to launch another sneak attack on Syria.
Keeping Up the Pressure
Last November, three Likud officials led by a close aide to Netanyahu,
Yossi Ben Aharon, met with 60 members of Congress and their staffs
to lobby against the involvement of U.S. troops. They intend to
return for similar meetings if peace talks between Syria and Israel
should make progress, and meanwhile their American allies will keep
up the pressure. The Likudniks told Congress they are concerned
for the safety of U.S. soldiers, but according to columnists Rowland
Evans and Robert Novak, their "real interest is...driving a
stake through Rabin's peace strategy. Without the insurance policy
of a U.S. presence on the Golan, Rabin would lose Israeli support
for peace with Syria...and Middle East peace will take another tumble."
Even if a majority in Congress approves the deployment of U.S. forces
to the Golan, Senator Jesse Helms, who fiercely opposes it, could
use his considerable parliamentary skill to delay approval indefinitely.
Finally, the most worrisome obstacle to Middle East peace may be
Congress's hostility toward the Palestinians. Neither Syria nor
any other Arab country can afford to establish close relations with
Israel while the plight of the Palestinians continues to worsen.
Clinton promised Arafat $500 million in aid when he signed the agreement
with Rabin, but so far the U.S. has come through with only $70 million.
In order to receive more, the PLO must satisfy pro-Israel senators
that it is complying with that agreement.
"The way it is now, it's going to be very difficult getting
a majority vote in favor of aid to the PLO," a Senate source
told a reporter for the Jewish Telegraphic Agency last January.
Some Jewish organizations already are lobbying against renewal of
the aid legislation when it expires June 30.
But what ultimately may prevent a renewal of aid to the Palestinians
is legislation currently being drafted by members of both parties
that would require the PLO to amend its covenant and do more to
prevent terrorism in order to receive additional funds. The PLO
can hardly fulfill either requirement. Most Palestinians believe
the concessions so far have all been on their side and that since
agreeing to peace with Israel their lives only have become worse.
Consequently a majority of PLO Executive Council members have refused
even to attend a meeting on revising the covenant.
Nor can Arafat do much to stop terrorism as long as Palestinians
in Gaza and the West Bank grow increasingly desperate. As a former
head of Israeli military intelligence, Shlomo Gazit, pointed out
in the Jerusalem Post, "Arafat can only demand an end
to terror if he can come to his people with a political success
that neutralizes the justification for continued Palestinian struggle."
To expect otherwise, Gazit wrote, "is asking the impossible."
So if the proposed legislation passes, which seems likely as members
of Congress trip over one another trying to please hard-line Jewish
voters, the Palestinians will lose aid they desperately need and
with it any remaining faith in the peace process.
As if to make sure that process is aborted, several members of
Congress also are attempting to determine the fate of Jerusalem
before it comes up for negotiation between Israel and the Palestinians.
More than half the senators have signed a letter drafted by Moynihan
and D'Amato calling for the U.S. to move its embassy from Tel Aviv
to Jerusalem as proof of Washington's support for "a united
Jerusalem as the capital of the state of Israel."
House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-GA) and Arizona Senator Jon Kyl
are demanding that the embassy be moved next year, and may sponsor
a bill to that effect. If so, considerable damage could result.
An anonymous congressman told a New York Times reporter last
February that "The fear is guys like Gingrich and Kyl will
push this as an issue for their own domestic political purposes
and blow up the whole peace process."
Gingrich, who recently hired AIPAC's former legislative director
Arne Christensen as his senior policy aide, obviously hopes his
all-out support for Israel will persuade the traditionally liberal
Jewish community to go along with his efforts to gut social services,
provide tax breaks for the rich, and allow prayer in the schools.
Gingrich's opportunism, like that of D'Amato, Robert Packwood, Connie
Mack and others who pander to fanatically pro-Israel Jews and Christian
fringe groups, is matched by the timidity of their colleagues who
know better but are fearful of being labeled "anti-Israel."
The irony is that by lavishing funds on an Israeli prime minister
who is "making peace with the enthusiasm of a prisoner being
led to the electric chair," as Israeli journalist Ze'ev Sternhall
wrote in Ha'aretz last January, Congress is not helping Israel
but doing lasting harm to its citizens. The majority of Israelis,
like Palestinians, want a chance to live their lives free of the
fear that they or their children will become victims of violence.
Instead, their future is being held hostage by militant ideologues
who insist on remaining on another people's land, by a government
that is fearful of confronting this extremist minority, and by members
of Congress who rely on that government's lobby for campaign funds.
If negotiations collapse and the Middle East conflict escalates,
the blame can be laid on political leaders in both Israel and the
U.S. who are too cowardly to make peace.
Rachelle Marshall is a free-lance writer living in Stanford,
CA. A member of the International Jewish Peace Union, she writes
frequently on the Middle East. |