Washington Report on Middle East Affairs, March
1999, page 53
Special Report
Solving Kashmir Problem Key to South Asia Non-Proliferation
By Dr. Ghulam Nabi Fai
Kashmir was prominent on President William Jefferson
Clintons agenda during his Dec. 2, 1998 meeting with Pakistani
Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif. It richly deserved that prime billing.
Kashmir is a nuclear flashpoint as well as a human
rights tragedy. The way the dispute relating to its status has been
handled is a mockery of international law and United Nations Security
Council resolutions.
Last May, the nuclear clock jumped dangerously forward.
India conducted several nuclear tests, and Pakistan quickly answered
in kind. Despite economic sanctions imposed by the United States
for such nuclear adventurism, later softened by new congressional
legislation, both India and Pakistan have remained resistant to
signing the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and have hedged their
professed receptivity to subscribing to the Comprehensive Test Ban
Treaty with several problematic conditions. Even if both South Asian
rivals signed the CTBT and a companion Fissile Materials Cut-Off
Treaty, moreover, both would still possess nuclear capabilities
that could be swiftly weaponized and delivered by missiles and aircraft.
In other words, a nuclear- and missile-free zone in
South Asia is a pipedream in the foreseeable future. Indeed, Indias
BJP prime minister recently boasted of Agni missile developments
and an intent to warehouse fissile materials necessary for nuclear
warheads.
But that need not occasion unrelieved gloom. More
important to international peace and security than warheads are
the fuses that could ignite nuclear exchanges. In South Asia, that
fuse is Kashmir, which has already provoked two wars between India
and Pakistan and remains a combustible Kashmiri-Indian conflict.
On Aug. 15, 1947, the princely state of Kashmir achieved
independence when British paramountcy lapsed. A Hindu maharaja ruled
over a predominantly Muslim population that was then in revolt against
his oppressive regime. In January 1947, the Muslim Conference had
captured a majority of seats in the legislative assembly, and on
July 19, 1947, the All Jammu and Kashmir Muslim Conference had passed
a resolution urging accession to Pakistan after independence arrived.
An indigenous insurrection erupted when the maharaja
flouted these manifestations of popular sentiment. In hopes of saving
his collapsing despotism, the Hindu ruler summoned the assistance
of the Indian military on Oct. 27, and purportedly signed an instrument
of accession to India. British scholar Alistair Lamb, however, has
persuasively demonstrated its fraudulent character in his recent
book, Incomplete Partition.
A new negotiating formula is required to resolve
the conflict.
In any event, India accepted the accession conditioned
on the approval of Kashmiris in a free and fair plebiscite, the
same formula India had thrust on the princely states of Hyderabad
and Junagadh featuring Muslim rulers over majority Hindu populations.
Then Indian Prime Minister Pandit Nehru explained to his Pakistani
counterpart: The question of aiding Kashmir in this emergency
is not designed in any way to influence the state to accede to India.
Our view, which we have repeatedly made public, is that the question
of accession in any disputed state or territory must be decided
in accordance with the wishes of people and we adhere to that view.
Indias military occupation of Kashmir did not
end the indigenous uprising in favor of Kashmiri self-determination.
It provoked war with Pakistan and the entry into Kashmir of freedom
fighters from neighboring countries. United Nations Security Council
resolutions accepted by India stipulated a cease-fire and a Kashmiri
self-determination referendum under United Nations auspices.
The former stipulation has been implemented, but the
latter has been scorned by India for 50 years. Fearful that Kashmiris
would never voluntarily place themselves under its rule, India reneged
from its espousal of self-determination and asserted a might
makes right theory of international law. It unilaterally announced
that Kashmir had lost its sovereignty and become an integral part
of the Indian nation.
That announcement, however, failed to quell the indigenous
Kashmiri demand for self-determination. Fighting and strife has
ebbed and flowed in the disputed territory ever since. The struggle
against Indian authorities escalated in 1989 after another rigged
legislative election caused widespread resentment among Kashmiri
youths and their seniors.
Routine Human Rights Abuses
Since that time, massacres in Kashmir have resulted
in 60,000 deaths. Rape, torture, plunder, abductions, arbitrary
detentions, and shelling of civilian homes have become routine,
as reported by every human rights group that has observed the grisly
Kashmir scene, such as Human Rights Watch and Amnesty International.
Pakistan and India have exchanged belligerent words
over Kashmir during the past year, and a cease-fire line has been
repeatedly violated. A recent six-day tete-ù-tete between the prime
ministers of the two estranged nations brought no change in the
bilateral Kashmir stalemate that has marked the last half-century.
A new negotiating formula is required to resolve the
Kashmir conflict peacefully and in accord with international law
and to remove it as a probable cause of nuclear volleys in South
Asia. President Clinton should inject the United States as an impartial
mediator, and appoint a special envoy on Kashmir, a measure that
has proved successful in Northern Ireland, Bosnia and Kosovo.
Further, genuine representatives of the Kashmiri people
who categorically renounce violence and terrorism as instruments
of political change should be invited to the negotiating table as
partners, namely, leaders of the All-Parties Hurriyet Conference.
Kashmiris, after all, should have a voice when their political destiny
is at stake.
A revamped negotiating equation is no guarantee of
ending the Kashmir conflict, but the attempt seems justified given
the magnitude of the nuclear, human rights, and international law
issues at stake. Why shouldnt the international law violations
in Kashmir which threaten nuclear war and occasion harrowing human
rights violations and deaths receive the same type of serious response
which the United States showered on Iraqi President Saddam Hussain
for defying a United Nations Security Council resolution? If international
law is important in Iraq, why isnt it equally important in
Kashmir?
Dr. Ghulam Nabi Fai is the executive director of
the Washington, DC-based Kashmiri American Council. |