Washington Report on Middle East Affairs, March
1999, pages 22-23
Iraq Forum: Where Do We Go From Here?Four Views
Dealing With Iraqs Provocative Leadership While
Helping Its Suffering People Requires Fresh Policy
By Dr. James J. Zogby
The recent behavior of the Iraqi leadership has placed
in sharp focus the problem that this regime has created for the
broader Arab world.
For several years now the suffering of Iraqs
people has been a central concern in Arab public opinion. The statistics
on infant mortality and the malnutrition rates are staggering and
deeply disturbing to the Arab world that knew Iraq in its greater
days.
Anguish at this cruel fate that has befallen the people
of Iraq has turned into anger at the United States and not merely
because of its leadership role in maintaining the comprehensive
sanctions regime that has crippled Iraqs economy. It is the
firm Arab belief that the United States practices a double standard
in its application of international law, in its expression of compassion,
and in its administration of justice and use of force.
Some Arab writers have suggested that the Iraqi leadership
has been emboldened to challenge the United States and spew forth
harsh rhetoric against Arab governments friendly to the United States
because they have confused Arab public opinions concern for
Iraqs people with support for their regime. While this may
account for part of the calculations of the Iraqi government, the
critical matter of the U.S. double standard cannot be ignored.
There is Arab anger at the United States. There is
a sense of frustration and betrayal. While the United States is
acknowledged by several key Arab states as the world superpower
that plays a necessary role in protecting regional security, the
United States failure to deal equitably with Arab needs has,
at times, proved politically costly to its Arab allies. And it is
against this background that the Iraqi leadership plays its provocative
game of manipulating public anger.
Former U.S. Secretary of State James Baker understood
this fact all too well. In 1990, shortly after Iraqs invasion
of Kuwait, Baker attempted to analyze the reaction of some segments
of Arab society to this cruel act. Baker suggested that the Iraqi
leader portrayed himself as the champion of the downtrodden,
the one who would challenge the powers that be in the name of those
who are oppressed. Both characterizations are, of course, misguided,
since the Iraqi regime is, itself, oppressive.
But, given the reality of Arab alienation from the
West, the regime in Baghdad has been cruelly able to manipulate
two popular themespublic support for the suffering of its
own people and this profound sense of Arab alienationinto
a political weapon that it has used against its enemies in times
of stress.
The Iraqi regime has continually been advised that
its needs would be best served by complying with international inspections
and then complaining about whatever problems it has with
these inspections. Instead it has chosen an alternative path and
that is to engage in a long-drawn-out and irksome cat-and-mouse
game with the inspection regime and then play confrontation politics
with those whose support the regime should be seeking to win.
Throughout this long saga it is the Iraqi people who
have been the victims and it is the emotions and passions of Arab
public opinion that have been played upon and worn down to the bone.
In the current situation, Arab states that are allied
with the United States are posed with a disturbing dilemma. On one
hand they are deeply troubled by the reckless behavior of the regime
in Iraq and on the other hand they are concerned with the failure
of the United States to develop a coherent and consistent policy
toward not only Iraq but also the Middle East as a whole. This is
especially troublesome because they recognize and value the role
that the United States could play in the region.
And so it is in this context that several Arab states
have begun an effort to formulate an alternative approach to dealing
with the Iraq problem. They are guided by a few central objectives.
They want to address and alleviate the suffering of the Iraqi people.
They do not want to legitimize the regime in power or reward its
behavior. But cognizant of the potent political impact that the
current situation is having on their public opinion, they want to
separate out, to the extent that it is possible, policy directed
at the regime in Iraq from the policy they will formulate to meet
the needs of the people of the country.
The Arabs are not alone in this effort to arrive at
such a new formula to deal with Iraq. There are currently before
the United Nations at least three other somewhat similar proposals.
In January, I led a small group of Arab Americans to a discussion
with U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan in New York about a number
of Middle East problems (e.g., the issue of Palestinian statehood,
the danger of an escalation of Israeli attacks on Lebanon and the
matter of the U.S. bombing of a pharmaceutical plant in Sudan).
But what occupied most of our discussion was the especially vexing
problem of Iraq.
While the secretary-general is a true diplomat, what
comes through clearly is his disappointment at the persistence of
this disturbing situation. So much has been invested in the secretary-generals
role. But he can only do what member states allow him the latitude
to do. He has vision and moral authoritybut he can neither
impose his will nor can he change behavior.
The secretary-general informed us of the outlines
of the French, Russian and U.S. proposals to deal with the Iraqi
situation. The details of an Arab position are still being formed.
It appears that while there are some substantial differences in
all of these various proposals, there are some points of agreement
as well.
He assumed that it would still require a few more
weeks of discussion and distillation before these various approaches
could be shaped into a new international consensus. It will in the
end require creativity, compromise and flexibility from
all parties for such a new approach to form. But while we wait to
see if such a consensus can be found and if the Iraqi government
will accept a new approach, it is the Iraqi people who will continue
to suffer and be exploitedstill waiting for an end to their
long nightmare.
Dr. James J. Zogby is president of the Arab American
Institute. He can be reached via e-mail a jzobgy@arab-aai.org |