Washington Report on Middle East Affairs, March 1998, Pages
11-12
Special Report
Some Congressional Visits Show Hopeful
Results
By Shirl McArthur
The holiday recess produced the usual flurry of congressional
visits to the Middle East. Most were by the usual suspects making
their regular pilgrimage to Israel. However, some of the congressional
delegations seemed serious about making their travel as productive
as possible, and they returned with constructive reports about their
trips. The largest of these delegations was headed by Rep. Nick
Rahall (D-WV), and included Reps. Maurice Hinchey (D-NY), Ray LaHood
(R-IL), and Dana Rohrabacher (R-CA). Another delegation consisted
of Sen. Bob Graham (D-FL) and Rep. Porter Goss (R-FL). Finally,
Sen. Arlen Specter's (R-PA) visit to the area is worth comment,
because it hinted at possible movement on the Syrian-Israeli peace
track (although some people have expressed the fear that Specter's
comments may have raised false expectations).
The Rahall Delegation
The Rahall delegation, which totaled 18 people including
Arab American Institute (AAI) President James Zogby, visited Lebanon
and Syria Jan. 5 through 8. The trip was organized by the AAI and
mostly funded by the National Arab American Business Association
(NAABA). During their three days in Lebanon, the group met with
more than 20 political and religious leaders and officials, including
President Elias Hrawi, Prime Minister Rafiq Hariri, and Foreign
Minister Fares Bouez. In Syria they met with Economy Minister Muhammad
Al-Imadi and Foreign Minister Farouk Al-Chaara, before meeting with
President Hafez Al-Assad for three and a half hours.
At a post-trip press briefing held by Rahall and Zogby,
Rahall emphasized how much progress Lebanon has made in its reconstruction
efforts since his last visit eight months ago. Rahall reported that
everyone he spoke with stressed that Lebanon is eager to do business
with Americans, now that the travel ban has been lifted. He said
delegation members told the Lebanese that the U.S. government wants
to take a more active role in the peace process, but that congressional
visits to the area should not be taken as a signal of any change
in U.S. policy in the region.
Rahall mentioned that the day the delegation arrived,
Israeli Defense Minister Yitzhak Mordechai acknowledged U.N. Resolution
425, which calls for Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon. However,
subsequent "clarifications" made it clear that Mordechai's
remarks did not indicate any change in Israeli policy and that Israel
is not contemplating the unilateral, unconditional withdrawal called
for by Res. 425. Lebanese officials made it clear to the delegation
that they are not interested in any separate negotiations with Israel.
However, in response to a question, Rahall said that Hezbollah and
army leaders the group spoke with said that if Israel withdraws
unilaterally from southern Lebanon they can guarantee that there
will be no cross-border attacks on Israel from Lebanon.
Rahall said that in Syria the group found a seriousness
for peace and a strong desire to resume negotiations with Israel.
President Assad made the point that during the negotiations with
the government of former Israeli Prime Minister Shimon Peres serious
concessions had been made by both sides and Assad felt that they
were just a few months away from reaching an agreement. However,
all that stopped with the election of Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu.
Rahall said that the group emphasized to Assad that now is an opportune
time to let Israel and the U.S. know that Syria is ready to resume
negotiations.
Zogby said he was especially impressed by Assad's
comment that "we and the Israelis who want peace form one front—and
we in Syria will do nothing to weaken that peace front in Israel."
The delegation members told Assad and the other Syrian officials
that Syria should do a better public relations job in the U.S. to
make it clear to the American people that Israel, not Syria, is
responsible for the current freeze in negotiations.
In response to a question about prospects for getting U.S. ticketing
and landing rights restrictions removed to facilitate travel between
the U.S. and Lebanon, Rahall said that the security situation at
Beirut airport has improved considerably, and the Lebanese government
has been very cooperative. However, there are still areas of concern.
He said it will take a bit more time before the restrictions are
lifted, but he is convinced it will happen.
Wrapping up the press briefing, Rahall said the trip
showed that the people in both Lebanon and Syria have strong positive
feelings toward the American people; but they also feel strong disagreement
with some of America's policies.
This was the first visit to Syria and Lebanon for
both Rohrabacher and Hinchey, and Rahall mentioned how valuable
he thought it was for his colleagues to get a new perspective on
issues surrounding the peace process. Zogby said that, even though
this was their first visit, he was impressed with Rohrabacher's
and Hinchey's penetrating questions. He said he felt they had gained
a better picture of some of the issues and of Assad.
Separately, Hinchey implicitly agreed, saying that
one has to meet with both sides to get an accurate assessment of
the situation. He said he always has had a deep interest in the
peace process, and that to establish a lasting peace both sides
must be involved in give and take.
The Washington Report also asked Rohrabacher
for his assessment of the trip. He confirmed that nearly all the
people they spoke with, whether officials or otherwise, are ready
for peace. He said he asked everyone the same question: "Are
you willing to sign a peace agreement granting Israel full recognition,
if it includes a satisfactory settlement of the lands occupied in
1967 and assures the dignity of the Palestinian people?" He
said everyone except the mufti of Lebanon, Sheikh Mohameed Rasheed
Kabani, unhesitatingly said yes. He emphasized that this specifically
included Assad. Rohrabacher was especially impressed with Assad.
He said he expected to find a dour, humorless dictator. Instead,
he found Assad cordial and charming, with a good sense of humor.
Rohrabacher said it is clear that Netanyahu is destroying
all the progress toward peace that has been developed over the past
years. At the moment, the current Israeli government is the enemy
of peace, and it clearly behooves the U.S. government to maintain
the pressure on Netanyahu. However, Rohrabacher is not discouraged.
"Netanyahu's actions have opened new doors for peace,"
he said, "because they have opened people's eyes."
Rohrabacher concluded by emphasizing that "once
peace is achieved, there will be no more excuses for the countries
of the Middle East not to implement democratic reforms, especially
Syria. The Cold War is over," he said. "The U.S. should
be pushing for peace and democracy everywhere."
Intelligence and Assessments
Senator Graham and Representative Goss visited Syria,
Lebanon, Egypt, and Israel between Jan. 2 and Jan. 9. Since the
trip was in their capacity as members of the Senate and House Select
Intelligence Committees (Goss is chairman of the House committee),
they were not prepared to give many details of whom they met and
what they discussed. However, a staff member who accompanied them
said their objectives included assessing the general political situation
in the area and the state of U.S. relations with the countries visited,
and looking at the security situation in Lebanon.
They were impressed with the apparent eagerness of
everyone they talked with to move forward with the peace process
and to get on with pursuing normal relations with their neighbors.
The staff member said that everyone they spoke with in Lebanon expressed
full confidence in the ability of the Lebanese army to provide security
in the south once Israeli troops withdraw. However, Lebanese officials
also emphasized, as they did with the Rahall delegation, that they
are not interested in a separate peace with Israel. Therefore, they
would not be interested in an Israeli withdrawal if it is accompanied
by conditions, because conditions imply negotiations, and Lebanon
will not negotiate independently. It has to be a package deal with
Syria. Right now, the whole process is stalled because of the lack
of movement on the Israeli/Palestinian track.
The group was especially impressed with the strength
of the U.S.-Egyptian relationship. However, both President Hosni
Mubarak and Foreign Minister Amr Musa expressed concern over lack
of progress with the peace process. Mubarak particularly emphasized
the collateral damage that the stalemate in the peace process is
causing in the area. He said that the present situation has serious
implications for the stability of all countries in the region, not
just the confrontation states.
In Lebanon, Graham and Goss were impressed with the
new Beirut airport terminal, which they characterized as having
state-of-the-art security capability, and with the new highway to
the airport, which still is under construction. However, there remain
several issues that must be resolved, they said, before they will
be fully comfortable about the airport security situation.
Information Gathering
Specter visited seven Middle East countries between
Jan. 1 and 11, accompanied only by Mrs. Specter and three aides.
Part of his trip was to gain information regarding religious persecution
in Arab countries, in connection with the "Freedom from Religious
Persecution" bills that he and Rep. Frank Wolf (R-VA) are pushing
(see "Congressional Preview," p. 33). However, a major
part of his visit also concerned the peace process. In a pre-trip
statement on Dec. 17, after meeting with President Clinton, Specter
said that he discussed with Clinton his thought that it might be
helpful on the Palestinian track of the peace negotiations "if
some of the spotlight were taken off Arafat," and that perhaps
one way to do that would be to make progress on the Syrian track.
He said he believes, based on his dozen or so trips to Syria since
1984, that now might be a good time "to move ahead the peace
process between Israel and Syria."
At a press conference in Israel, he repeated that
thought and said that after meeting with both Assad and Netanyahu,
he believes that progress on the Syrian track might be less complicated
than progress on the Palestinian track. He said he based this opinion
on his conviction that both Netanyahu and Assad want to proceed.
He also said that he thought President Clinton "could exercise
persuasion and influence to bring the parties together." However,
he refused to say whether he believed Netanyahu would be open to
compromise on the Golan issue, saying that was something he would
discuss with Clinton.
Responding to other questions, Specter said he could
not agree with one questioner's "assumption of uneasiness"
between Clinton and Netanyahu, and gave the standard response that
the U.S.-Israeli relationship does not depend on relations between
two people. He also said that Mordechai's statement that "we're
prepared to withdraw from southern Lebanon and to follow the applicable
U.N. resolution" was a very positive sign. However, Specter
also said that "there would have to be conditioning."
Finally, Specter said he heard a lot of complaints
in Damascus about Syria being on the "terrorist list,"
and that the Syrians do not feel they are being treated fairly.
He said it is important to keep talking with Syria, and that at
present the U.S. does not have enough dialogue with Syria.
Shirl
McArthur, a retired foreign service officer, is a senior consultant
with Bruce Morgan Associates, an international research and consulting
firm in the Washington, DC area. |