January/February 1997, pgs. 9, 48-51
The Arabian Gulf in 1997. . .
With Ruling Familys Dispute Settled, Qatars
New Emir Charts Bold Course
by Richard H. Curtiss
The Emir of Qatar, Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa Al Thani, met Dec.
9 in Rome with his father, Sheikh Khalifa bin Hamad Al Thani, for
the first time since the son took over the rulership from his father
in June 1995. The personal meeting marked the formal end of the
dispute which had tied up the finances of the Emirate for 18 months.
Under an agreement reached between their representatives, the fathers
foreign bank accounts have been unfrozen and some of the contents
will be transferred to the government of Qatar and the control of
his son. The amount of money in those accounts, accumulated from
the proceeds of Qatars oil sales over the past 25 years, was
between $2.1 and $2.3 billion, considerably less than the $6 to
8 billion rumored in the Middle Eastern press after Sheikh Hamad
assumed the rulership during his fathers absence abroad in
June 1995.
In fact it turned out that over the years oil revenues had been
split as they were collected, with roughly 50 percent being used
to pay for petroleum production and Qatari government investments
in gas production, liquefaction and transportation facilities. The
remainder was used for the government budget, prestige projects
such as the landmark Doha Sheraton hotel, which cost close to a
billion dollars, and the expenses of the ruling family and the emir
himself.
Even before settlement of the dispute, which had pitted Sheikh
Khalifa and two of his sons against Sheikh Hamad and two of Sheikh
Khalifas other sons, women of the family had traveled unhindered
between the two camps. What the father, Sheikh Khalifa, will do
next is not clear and may in fact still be under negotiation.
Rumors have it that his principal palace in Qatar is being refurbished
in preparation for a ceremonial return accompanied by a senior Gulf
ruler such as Sheikh Zayid bin Sultan, president of the United Arab
Emirates, or King Fahd or Crown Prince Abdullah of Saudi Arabia,
perhaps in conjunction with a special Qatari event or occasion.
Prior to the meeting, work also had been started on a palace made
available as a permanent residence for Sheikh Khalifa by Sheikh
Zayid bin Sultan, emir of Abu Dhabi. Sheikh Khalifa also has a summer
residence in Switzerland.
As part of the settlement, the new Emir, Sandhurst-educated Sheikh
Hamad, announced that his 19-year-old Sandhurst-educated
son, Sheikh Jassem bin Hamad Al Thani, would be his heir apparent,
settling one of the issues in the 1995 split between father and
son. With the succession issue agreed, the money under state treasury
controls, and Qatar ready to launch in December the first shipment
of liquefied natural gas from the countrys vast North Field,
the largest single deposit of natural gas in the world, Qatars
new emir is free to pursue his own dreams. And, although Qatar has
the smallest population of the six Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)
states, its new emirs dreams may be among the biggest.
Although Qatars Sunni Muslims are of the same strict Muwahidun
(meaning unitarian but often called Wahabi
after its promulgatory) creed as their conservative Saudi Arabian
neighbors, Sheikh Hamads vision seems pointed at a more liberal
poitical system, starting with an elected consultative council.
Of the other GCC states, only Kuwait presently has an elected parliament
while all of the others have appointed consultative councils to
advise the ruler and carry out investigations of government services
and interrogations of cabinet members.
Now Sheikh Hamad has announced that in addition to an elected consultative
council, Qatar will have elected municipal officers. He also has
gone a step further than other GCC states by announcing an end to
media censorship . He has even abolished Qatars Information
Ministry, which not only was responsible for censorship but also
ran the countrys radio and television, set quality standards
for local newspapers, and assisted foreign journalists and scholars
seeking information about Qatar.
There is no other Arab country, and probably no country in the
world, without such a ministry or its equivalent, with the exception
of the United States, which scatters many of the functions of such
a ministry among various federal departments, agencies and commissions.
Sheikh Hamad is further emphasizing womens education in a
country where both female and male attendance in primary and secondary
school is mandatory and where women already outnumber men in the
national university. He also is calling for removal of remaining
barriers to women exercising their full potential in cultural, economic
and professional life.
One of his three wives, Sheikha Moza Al Misnad, recently led a
delegation of specialists in the educational and medical fields
served by Sheikh Hamads personal charitable and educational
foundation in Qatar to visit leading American institutions in their
fields. In doing so, she apparently became the first wife of a Gulf
ruler to lead a delegation abroad in the absence of her husband.
(See box accompanying this article.)
Many young Qataris seem delighted with these developments. Remarked
a female professor at Qatar University who is related to Sheikha
Moza, Our people have waited a long time for these changes.
They are ready for them.
Such innovations also are bound to excite favorable comment in
the Western press when they become known. Even if they draw a mixed
reaction in more conservative Middle Eastern circles, however, there
is little likelihood that the 44-year-old ruler and his supporters
will be deterred. They know where they want to go, and they have
started the journey.
In fact, listening to conflicting accounts of what is happening
in Qatar is like viewing a trompe dloeil, a painting
or a mosaic floor designed to fool the eye. Looked at one way, it
presents a smooth and inviting path. Looked at another way it seems
an impassable surface.
While the countrys leader and his very small circle of close
advisers dream grandiose dreams, telephones ring unanswered in the
royal diwan, Qatars seat of government. Complains one leading
Qatari businessman, It used to be that when you had a problem,
you could walk into the Diwan and find someone to solve it. Now
security turns you away at the gate and you have no way of knowing
whether there is anyone inside at all. Says a more charitable
Western diplomat, I think they are trying to do so much so
fast that their protocol people have been stretched beyond the breaking
point.
Qatari daily newspapers seem to be reporting something that looks
more like a political campaign than a normally functioning government.
On one day in November the media announced that a new constitution
will be promulgated. The next day the media described new decisions
of Qatars consultative council. The third day it was announced
that the November 1997 Middle East economic summit, which this year
attracted 4,000 delegates to Egypt, not to mention vastly augmented
foreign embassy support staffs, will be held in Doha, which has
perhaps 2,000 hotel rooms. To house the guests in Qatar, cruise
ships will be tied up in the port of Doha.
Meanwhile, Qatars existing hotel rooms are occupied by foreign
businessmen and consultants who arrive thinking they have appointments
with government officials, only to find the officials no longer
are in office or are on missions of their own in other countries.
More unsettling are the widespread rumors of favoritism within
the emirs tiny circle of advisers who, many Qataris charge,
deliberately insulate the ruler from any competitors for power or
business. Even allowing for exaggeration such as that in early reports
of the previous emirs assets, the popular perception that
gas and oil-rich Qatars future prosperity will focus on diwan
intimates is widespread, and presents a very different vision of
the future from that being publicly, and sincerely, propounded by
Qatars dynamic new ruler and his admirers.
Qatars half-million residentsof whom no more than 100,000
have Qatari nationality, while the rest are expatriate workers and
their familiesalso seem to have two totally different visions of
recent history. All would agree that the initial oil wealth produced
profound positive changes in the country. It enabled the children
of Qatars ruling elite and of its merchant class to go abroad
for good educations. It also enabled Qataris to hire Palestinians,
Egyptians, Indians and Pakistanis to set up a system of universal
elementary and secondary education, along with vocational training
and a university designed to meet the countrys professional
and technical needs.
Most residents of Qatar would agree also that for a time tiny Qatar
seemed the best managed emirate in the Gulf. In the past decade,
however, it had fallen perceptibly behind not only Kuwait, which
had a one-generation headstart, but also economic late starters
like Abu Dhabi and Dubai.
The emirs wife, Sheikha Moza, therefore spoke for many Qataris
when she explained to the Americans she met in November, We
have so much to do, and so little time to do it.
The question is not what is to be done, but only whether Qatar
is using wisely the time and resources required to do it. |